Severe threat 6/10-6/12

[mjwise]

I never start threads but I thought there should be one for this with a Day 3 enhanced and Day 4 30% severe delineation already posted. Smarter people can discuss.

[CheeselandSkies]

Annoyed I will be missing the severe threats in MBY due to a planned trip to Cleveland to visit family tomorrow through Friday.

[A-L-E-K]

promising look, nice that we should see multiple rounds impact klot

 

 

[Chicago916]

Let's get ready to Derecho

[A-L-E-K]

that would be cool

[Brian D]

Starting tonight into tomorrow for my area.

[MidwestChaser]

NAM looks volatile for S WI and N IL Thursday evening.

[hawkeye_wx]

Despite a good-looking setup for eastern Iowa Wednesday into Wednesday night, all of the morning CAMs show almost all the storms forming northeast, east and south of this area.

[Torchageddon]

This Thurs may be the best chance for something decent (nothing like the main risk areas tho) IMBY as everything in 2026 except 2 storms in Mar has been pathetic, and all but 1 between midnight and 3am. 

[A-L-E-K]

2 hours ago, MidwestChaser said:

NAM looks volatile for S WI and N IL Thursday evening.

multiple comma head mcs wed-thurs or bust

12z guidance looking p sweet, we locking in gang?

[Malacka11]

I am in favor of daylight visibility at the expense of overall wow (to a point) so I enjoy that some models pop a mid-afternoon line for tomorrow now. Obviously don't want that to end up dudding the whole day or shifting the crosshair for later by accident but if we could sneak a good hit in the afternoon and then another at night that would be baller. Not even to speak of getting another even better chance Thursday to my understanding

[luckyweather]

New D2 Tor Outlook. Seems like SW WI always gets the bullseye these days. 

[mjwise]

Enhanced for severe wind also expanded into Chicagoland on the new D2.

[Chicago916]

Get ready to Day 3 Moderate?

[sbnwx85]

Getting excited for this one. I wish I didn't have to work because I'll be stuck in the newsroom/producer booth, but I'll be watching the storms on radar and through weather cameras. There are worse ways to make a living.

[A-L-E-K]

 

[King James]

Funny last night for no reason I was thinking about derechos and the pronunciation

It is written

[andyhb]

That is quite a potent shortwave on the 12z Euro for Thursday with a 90+ kt 500 mb max, especially for June. Morning convection will rule the roost as usual, but I would expect a pretty widespread and potentially significant severe event given the magnitude of the flow overlapping strong instability.

[Chicago Storm]

The HRRR is top tier for tomorrow around here, projecting 3 rounds of back-back-back severe clusters locally.

[Chicago916]

6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The HRRR is top tier for tomorrow around here, projecting 3 rounds of back-back-back severe clusters locally.

Shades of?

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014_06_30_SevereStorms

[pen_artist]

The end of the 18z HRRR also showing a well recovered powder keg of an atmosphere early afternoon Thursday. Can't imagine what 00z runs will show if trends continue