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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


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1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Not sure why models are weakening this but sure does look good.. lots of tornado and severe warnings with it

I do think CAMs are struggling with this. It's a well developed MCS, with MCV probably in there now and guidance is almost certainly decaying it too quickly. But I think the HRRR is on the right track, showing the southwestern end being the focus. That's where all the deeper instability is. SNE is all 0-3 CAPE.

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