Typhoon Tip Posted Tuesday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:19 PM 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wish we could get one of the universities to run it...at least the 3k. But it would be a bad look for NCEP if everyone started flocking to Ewall or SUNY to see every NAM run while Rufus has more tumbleweeds than views. I think they've made their bed and they'll have to lie in it either way. At least they were smart enough to wait until the end of met summer/severe wx season before ending it. I wish more free models sites at the RRFS data. I like COD and Tidbits for quick and easy viewing. I get a little lost on what I'm clicking at Pivotal sometimes. Pleezy weezy with sugar on top let's see that happen. ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Tuesday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:28 PM 13 minutes ago, kdxken said: Comfortable is good. I am not against, nor a fan of Judah Cohen's contributions ... I realize there's been some banter in here that's ranged from flattery to ... not so flattering opinions of the guy - I'm not part of that one way or the other. Having defined that ... I don't have a problem at all with his surmise/intimation there that it bears some semblance to last winter. I said almost exactly that to Brian in a post yesterday or the day before. Whether it ends up "comfortable" like he suggests is different combinations of metric than just temp though. He needs to be careful there ... or at least, the readers/consumers need to be aware. If it ends up normal temperatures ... that doesn't automatically intimate lower DPs to me. Not at this time of year - nor particularly to what the general synoptic trends look like out there. Particularly, if the transient trough in the Lakes starts to retrograde like the 00z ens clusters all agreed it would do... that means it is challenged to really make it COC -like. It would be more vaginal I guess... heh ( puerile humor ). It's a new-ish signal but the neg anomalies associated move back toward the S/W continent just beyond next week. For a real air cleansing... the trough needs to go the other way ... opening up and progressing E. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM Another top 5 day out there today 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM 12 minutes ago, kdxken said: Comfortable is good. What in the sam hell am I trying to interpret here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Tuesday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:39 PM Speaking of the NAM grid.... woof. Thickness 572 to 575, first time this season basically sets in now, out thru 60 hours. 850's look like 15C. Lot of a cloud production tho so that probably limits it's already tendency for 2-meter temp retardation a bit. 30C at 980mb in NYC on Thursday tho would probably be 96 in EWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted Tuesday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:41 PM 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: What in the sam hell am I trying to interpret here Probability of quintile range 0.0 <= x < 20% for 2 metre temperature probability 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Tuesday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:42 PM Sucks the strongest shear lags behind the front Friday. but with large CAPE/a bit of an EML we could still pull off some big storms, its just they would be more pulse type and may not be organized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM 21 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Another top 5 day out there today Violently agree. Perfect summer weather! 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: What in the sam hell am I trying to interpret here Charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:00 PM 1 hour ago, metagraphica said: Probability of quintile range 0.0 <= x < 20% for 2 metre temperature probability 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:50 PM Nam says we enjoy anvil cirrus Thursday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Tuesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:58 PM Thursday has been shot for days. Pa/NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM 40 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Thursday has been shot for days. Pa/NY It’s too bad it’s so blocky at 500 because that was a good trajectory for southern New England in general. We fucking suck. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nam says we enjoy anvil cirrus Thursday Rufus looked a little better in E MA/NH…a little trigger along the theta-e grad and outflow enhanced seabreeze pushing westward. I’m just interested in rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Tuesday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:19 PM 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s too bad it’s so blocky at 500 because that was a good trajectory for southern New England in general. We fucking suck. Yeah, these types of setups always trend towards best instability/theta-e, and that's nearly always going in the wrong direction. unless there's a strong cf squall line, or it's this type of setup but pegged for NNE many days out, forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM 33 minutes ago, dendrite said: Rufus looked a little better in E MA/NH…a little trigger along the theta-e grad and outflow enhanced seabreeze pushing westward. I’m just interested in rain though. Yeah possible I guess. Starting to get crispy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Tuesday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:53 PM 54 minutes ago, dendrite said: Rufus looked a little better in E MA/NH…a little trigger along the theta-e grad and outflow enhanced seabreeze pushing westward. I’m just interested in rain though. S Wey special 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM 3 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: S Wey special Works for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM It seems criminal I had to work on a day like this. I think the office should declare force majeure on days like this and send everyone out to the beach. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Tuesday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:34 PM Just now, Hoth said: It seems criminal I had to work on a day like this. I think the office should declare force majeure on days like this and send everyone out to the beach. We took our team of students out for a field day. It was superb. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:08 PM 7 hours ago, dendrite said: I thought for sure someone would enjoy the image of Judah with cornrows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:32 PM 58 minutes ago, Hoth said: It seems criminal I had to work on a day like this. I think the office should declare force majeure on days like this and send everyone out to the beach. It will be great when AI takes every job and we can just tan the nape and troll Kevin all day. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:16 PM please please let the 18z GFS happen! Hoodies for days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Tuesday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:25 PM 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: please please let the 18z GFS happen! Hoodies for days! Made me look. Mostly 300+ hr nonsense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Tuesday at 11:28 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 11:28 PM 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: please please let the 18z GFS happen! Hoodies for days! When , if ever will you learn ?Next week already trended warmer today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:28 PM 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Made me look. Mostly 300+ hr nonsense did you look at 18z it starts at hr 192 and keeps going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: When , if ever will you learn ?Next week already trended warmer today on what model.. please post because I'm not seeing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM Just now, ineedsnow said: on what model.. please post because I'm not seeing it Every single ensemble 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:31 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Every single ensemble post it.. because I saw the EPS and GEFS cooled a bit if anything so please post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:32 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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