Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[vortex95]

SPC took out general tstms for SNE 13z update?  I don't think so.  Plenty of sun, adequate CAPE, and cold temps aloft as a solid s/w trof swings through.  HRRR and RRFS clearly show cells ern MA and the S Coast.  12z RRFS gets carried away it seems Buzzards Bay area showing a li'l 2.78" max but the 06z had a .70" max in the same area.  Meso models all along have shown decent potential S Coast today, so no reason to think it will not happen.  Also, storms dropping from the N often over-perform in SNE and it's how CC and the S Coast do their best.  

[jbenedet]

58 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The showers dropping in from the north look like weak sauce. 3k tries to fire some isolated convection along the boundary later…we shall see.

Setting in by mid June…just like clockwork. 

I’m expecting an overperform today.

The mid level forcing tends to meet or exceed for June. Yesterday with the prevailing low level easterly fetch and overcast was a big sell for rain. Not a repeat. Two completely different setups. More early sun too. Fitting the persistence pattern today with the mid level low swinging through.

[weatherwiz]

The winds along the leading edge from yesterday in New Britain 

 

[dendrite]

Clouds really fired up ahead of the boundary in S NH. Down to 69/60 here. Maybe we pop some cells if we clear out behind this line of SHRA. 

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Looks good but had to edit it a bit.

Always believed that muggy was low 60s, humid was mid to upper 60s and oppressive started at 70. Anything 75 and above was uncommon for the region. 

Idk when people started lowering the standard 

[vortex95]

54 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Always believed that muggy was low 60s, humid was mid to upper 60s and oppressive started at 70. Anything 75 and above was uncommon for the region. 

Idk when people started lowering the standard 

EDIT: Oops!  I did not realize the graphic was adjusted/edited for the additional fake categories!

Yes, what you noted about dew points and descriptors, it used to be that way, but enter the age of excess labeling and hype!

Below 60 is comfortable, 60-65 moderately humid, 65-70 muggy, and 70 and above oppressive/tropical for the vast majority of the population. 

Sticky, muggy, and humid mean the same thing.  And 60-65 is not muggy per se. Tropical is 70 and above.
 

[Typhoon Tip]

79 

[dendrite]

We do 70+ dews a lot more than we used to. We deserve a 75+ category now. Gotta change with the times.

[kdxken]

This is pretty cool. 

 

[Hoth]

No damage from last night's storm in my back yard, but my neighbor four houses up had two mature maples snap about 10 feet from the ground, one of which crushed his Jeep. Major bummer!

[weatherwiz]

The amount of wind we have had this spring has been absolutely annoying. It seems like every day is gusting 15-20+ mph.