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Stormlover74
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MANDA
MANDA

Steady light rain ongoing but looks to be last batch.  Should see drying and some brightening by later this afternoon.  Event total here as of 8am 1.90".  Hoping to get something on the grill for dinn

rclab
rclab

I waited for the rain to stop before I put out the flag. The only one on the block so far. My father and uncles survived WW2. Two uncles were on the same ship that was torpedoed and both made it. Even

Cyg
Cyg

Moon and Venus

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Wxoutlooksblog

Wxoutlooksblog

Posted
Posted

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

seems like typical Nino climo for cooler summer here...

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NEG NAO

NEG NAO

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal  temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.

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donsutherland1

donsutherland1

Posted
Posted

Tomorrow will be briefly warmer with highs in the middle and upper 70s. Saturday will be unseasonably cool with highs only in the middle and upper 60s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s on Sunday. The first week of June could also see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near noraml.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -23.11 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.041 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.5° (0.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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SACRUS

SACRUS

Posted
Posted


off a low of 49 now to 64.  Clear and near to below normal todat mid - upper 70s maybe a stray 80.  Cut off low / ULL exits northeast of us but still suspect we see periods of clouds  / cool and some isolated showers on Saturday.  A touch warmer Sunday mid - upper 70s before the next ULL spins in /around the cut off trough undermeath the massive ridge on Monday with more of the same isolated showers, windy conditions other wise a dry 7 days <025 wide..  Flow flattens a bit by 6/4 and moderation to / above normal beyond.  Perhaps next shot at heat 6/6 beyond especially inland.



GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 

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SACRUS

SACRUS

Posted
Posted

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (1987)
NYC: 97 (1969)
LGA: 95 (1987)
JFK: 99 (1969)


Lows:

EWR: 40 (1936)
NYC: 43 (1902)
LGA: 48 (2021)
JFK: 46 (1949)


Historical:


1877: A "terrific" two-day long sandstorm sandblasted Yuma AZ. (28th-29th) (Ref. The Weather Channel)
 

1947: An unprecedented late-spring snowstorm blasts portions of the Midwest from eastern Wyoming to eastern Upper Michigan. The heavy snow caused severe damage to power and telephone lines and the already-leafed-out vegetation.
 

1951 - A massive hailstorm, from Wallace to Kearney County in Kansas, caused six million dollars damage to crops. (David Ludlum)
 

1953 - A tornado, 600 yards wide at times, killed two persons on its 20 mile path from southwest of Fort Rice ND into Emmons County. Nearly every building in Fort Rice was damaged. The Catholic church was leveled, with some pews jammed four feet into the ground. (The Weather Channel)

 

1982: Two significant tornadoes ripped through southern Illinois. The most severe was an F4 that touched down northeast of Carbondale, Illinois then moved to Marion. The twister had multiple vortices within the main funnel. Extensive damage occurred at the Marion Airport. A total of 10 people were killed, and 181 were injured. 648 homes and 200 cars were damaged or destroyed, with total damages around $100 million.

 

1986: Hailstones over 3 inches in diameter pounded South Shore in Montreal, Quebec Canada causing over $65 million in damage.
 

1987 - Thunderstorms in West Texas produced softball size hail at Lamesa, and hail up to twelve inches deep east of Dimmitt. Thunderstorms also spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas, including one which injured three persons at Wolfforth. Thunderstorms deluged the Texas Hill Country with up to eleven inches of rain. Severe flooding along the Medino, Hondo, Seco, Sabinal and Frio rivers caused more than fifty million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
 

1988 - A powerful cold front brought snow and high winds to parts of the western U.S. Austin, NV, was blanketed with ten inches of snow, and winds gusted to 75 mph at the Mojave Airport in California. Strong southerly winds and unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the north central U.S. Glasgow, MT, equalled their record for the month of May with a high of 102 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
 

1989 - Wintry weather gripped parts of the northwestern U.S. for the second day in a row. Great Falls, MT, was blanketed with 12 inches of snow, which pushed their total for the winter season to a record 117.4 inches. Six inches of snow whitened the Cascade Mountains of Oregon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
 

1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from north central Colorado to the northern half of Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, and there were seventy reports of large hail or damaging winds. Midday thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Hobart, OK, and produced up to three and a half inches of rain in eastern Colorado in four hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)


1991: Record maximum temperature for Washington DC. for the date is 97 °F.(Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1995: Massachusetts recorded a devastating tornado strike at Great Barrington, MA killing three people, injuring 24, and causing $25 million in damage. Debris was carried for more than 45 miles. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1996: Downburst winds from a thunderstorm picked up a small boat and airlifted it to the opposite side of a canal where it landed in a resident's yard and damaged a parked vehicle at Tampa, FL. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000: Death Valley, California: A new national maximum temperature record for May is set when the high temperature in Death Valley soars to 122 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor)

 

2002: Parts of western New York State had up to 5,000 homes were without power at the peak of the storm from downing trees and power lines. Hail up to 1 inch in diameter was reported in Perry, Wyoming County. The training thunderstorms dropped 4 to 6 inches of rain in two to three hours in a localized area from Phelps to Newark. A State of Emergency was declared that was declared in Newark remained in effect for a week with most schools and businesses closed during that time. Nearly 300 basements were flooded and several roads covered with up to a foot of water remained closed for several days.   (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2006: Temperatures in the low 90s which was 20 to 30° higher than average for the date caused havoc across South Michigan. At least 27 people including high school marching band members, a cheerleader and a military veteran passed out during a Roseville Memorial Day parade. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA)Lightning hit

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WX-PA

WX-PA

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like that deep low dropping SSE from Canada will produce some strong wind gusts here tomorrow especially eastern sections. 
 

 

Now that is very starnge for a day before June in NE

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