May 2026

[Stormlover74]

Looks like some pop up showers developed 

[Brian5671]

8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like some pop up showers developed 

I think some of us will see that Saturday with the cold pool-especially north and east of NYC

[Wxoutlooksblog]

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

[Brian5671]

7 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

seems like typical Nino climo for cooler summer here...

[FPizz]

47 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like some pop up showers developed 

Not one mention of it at all in any forecast that I saw

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Not one mention of it at all in any forecast that I saw

Yup. Even some brief heavy downpours around.


.

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Not one mention of it at all in any forecast that I saw

Yeah supposed to be totally sunny today

[NEG NAO]

Someone should tell Upton this is not Mostly Sunny - they make the same mistake in these set ups contently - and now it is even showering

[NEG NAO]

30 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

In the next 7-10 days we should see lots of pop up showers/storms with possibly a rainy Saturday or Monday as low pressure meanders about off the southern New England coast and then later over New England. For June, Omega block pattern of the last 6 weeks continues. Mostly near/below normal temps with 40% chance of an isolated warm/hot day here and there. No sustained heat before June 18th, maybe as late as June 23rd. The hazy hot and humid weather is over Europe and under the bottom (in the GOM and sw Atlantic). Showers/storms over the Gulf States and over the top into Canada. Rinse and repeat this a week from now.

WX/PT

My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal  temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.

[Wxoutlooksblog]

29 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

seems like typical Nino climo for cooler summer here...

Only if this pattern holds. I'm skeptical.

WX/PT

[nycwinter]

beautiful lovely day low humidity comfortable temps gusty wind hard to believe this is late may weather..

[TJW014]

Gonna be a perfect fishing/bonfire evening at the beach later. 

 

[FPizz]

24 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Gonna be a perfect fishing/bonfire evening at the beach later. 

 

Nice, heading to Camden waterfront for a concert.  Good night for it

 

[Santa Claus]

feels distinctly autumnal

[NEG NAO]

49 minutes ago, Santa Claus said:

feels distinctly autumnal

and soon we will be talking about this possibility down the road - get your sled tuned up Santa !

[Santa Claus]

17 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

and soon we will be talking about this possibility down the road - get your sled tuned up Santa !

the people who make this shit are on the naughty list big time

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be briefly warmer with highs in the middle and upper 70s. Saturday will be unseasonably cool with highs only in the middle and upper 60s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s on Sunday. The first week of June could also see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near noraml.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -23.11 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.041 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.5° (0.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.