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Following today's balmy temperatures, it will turn cooler tomorrow with temperatures topping out in the lower to perhaps middle 60s. The weekend will be even cooler with highs in the lower 50s on Saturday and middle and upper 50s on Sunday.

Periods of rain are likely on Saturday into Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 0.50"-1.50" with a few locally higher amounts are likely across the region.

Beyond the weekend, temperatures will likely remain generally below normal for the remainder of April. May could also open with cooler than normal conditions.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -2.74 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.985 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.4° (1.7° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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Classic onshore flow pattern with waves of low pressure bringing rainfall as they move through. Tomorrow could have afternoon temperatures struggling to get out of  the low 40s with clouds and rain. Blocking pattern set to continue right into May.

IMG_6155.thumb.png.04fe373e5cd8fc5792eba00758c1cb4b.png

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IMG_6161.thumb.png.a1d8752941c2bc9917a2e6b9d410564a.png

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8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Classic onshore flow pattern with waves of low pressure bringing rainfall as they move through. Tomorrow could have afternoon temperatures struggling to get out of  the low 40s with clouds and rain. Blocking pattern set to continue right into May.

IMG_6155.thumb.png.04fe373e5cd8fc5792eba00758c1cb4b.png

IMG_6159.thumb.png.efcf211bc1eb05d0adf442b70d056da6.png

IMG_6161.thumb.png.a1d8752941c2bc9917a2e6b9d410564a.png

How joyous. 

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10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Classic onshore flow pattern with waves of low pressure bringing rainfall as they move through. Tomorrow could have afternoon temperatures struggling to get out of  the low 40s with clouds and rain. Blocking pattern set to continue right into May.

IMG_6155.thumb.png.04fe373e5cd8fc5792eba00758c1cb4b.png

IMG_6159.thumb.png.efcf211bc1eb05d0adf442b70d056da6.png

IMG_6161.thumb.png.a1d8752941c2bc9917a2e6b9d410564a.png

Precisely what I was concerned with for the “spring” on LI

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22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

We were due for some crappy weather.   Still a tight gradient tomorrow b/w alot of rain and little rain...mainly NE of the city

This whole spring has been crappy on LI. We had a few days of nice weather.  
There is a big difference in the weather in Morristown NJ and the weather in central Long Island.  
The wind is something new.  Windy every day it seems

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8 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

This whole spring has been crappy on LI. We had a few days of nice weather.  
There is a big difference in the weather in Morristown NJ and the weather in central Long Island.  
The wind is something new.  Windy every day it seems

I feel like we've done ok here.  Alot of sunny days which I'm fine with even if it's cold.   

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35 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

We were due for some crappy weather.   Still a tight gradient tomorrow b/w alot of rain and little rain...mainly NE of the city

Hopefully it can get to the areas in upstate NY where the reservoirs are located. 

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4 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

I don’t have the data to support, but it seems to be very cloudy most days. Very few sunny days

No idea but i was figuring it would be truly horrendous with the cold shelf water after this winter, but to me at least it hasn't been all that bad.    Next 10 days might change that opinion!

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53 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

This whole spring has been crappy on LI. We had a few days of nice weather.  
There is a big difference in the weather in Morristown NJ and the weather in central Long Island.  
The wind is something new.  Windy every day it seems

Big average high temperature spread between the LI and CT Shorelines and NJ since March 1st.

 

AEROFLEX-ANDOVER AIRPORT WBAN 65.4
ESTELL MANOR COOP 63.9
PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 63.3
MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 63.0
SALEM COOP 62.8
SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 62.8
MOORESTOWN 4 E COOP 62.4
MCGUIRE AFB WBAN 62.4
PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 62.1
Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 61.8
OCEAN COUNTY AIRPORT WBAN 61.8
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 61.8
SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 61.7
New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 61.5
Data for March 1, 2026 through April 24, 2026 Average High temperature 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 61.2
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 60.7
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 60.5
NY PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL ICAO 60.3
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 60.1
NJ HARRISON COOP 59.5
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 59.4
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 58.3
NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 58.3
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 57.8
NY SHRUB OAK COOP 57.6
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 57.3
CT DANBURY COOP 56.8
NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 56.7
NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 56.5
NY STEWART FIELD WBAN 56.4
CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 56.3
NY PORT JERVIS COOP 56.2
CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 55.8
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 55.5
NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 55.5
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 55.2
NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 55.0
NY SYOSSET COOP 55.0
NY ST. JAMES COOP 54.8
NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 54.3
CT OXFORD WATERBURY WBAN 54.2
CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 53.8
NY CENTERPORT COOP 53.8
NY CARMEL 4N COOP 53.4
CT GUILFORD COOP 53.4
NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 53.2
CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 53.1
NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 52.3
NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 52.1
CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP WBAN 51.3
NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 50.7
NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 50.3
NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 48.9

 

 

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On the bright side...the grass seed I put down two weeks ago to fix parts of the lawn by the street that got really beaten up by the town mounding snow mixed with excess road salt has filled in great.  I did have to keep it sprinkled daily but it was great weather for it to get a good start.  Putting down some fertilizer later today to get soaked in by the rain.   I would rather the rain and big chill didn't happen over the weekend but what can we do.

A good weekend to all.  Make the best of it.

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67 / 31 partly cloudy with isolated showers around in LI and EPA.  After yesterdays mid - upper 70s, todays mid - upper 60s will be the warmest for the next week or so.   Cool / raw / rain weekend Sat into sun - onshore flow.   After a brief reprise on Monday,  similar setup Tue - Wed into Thu onshore /raw cool and rain.  Trough into the east through May 5.  Beyond there moderation / warmer.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif   

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87 (2001)
NYC: 87 (2001)
LGA: 87 (2001)
JFK: 79 (2008)


Lows:
 

 

EWR: 36 (1967)
NYC: 31 (1930)
LGA: 36 (1971)
JFK: 34 (1967)

Historical:

 

1880: Several tornadoes affected parts of central and southwest Illinois. One tornado of F4 intensity touched down near Jerseyville and killed one person along the 18-mile path. Another F4 tornado passed just north of Carlinville and lifted near Atwater, destroying 50 buildings. Six people died in Christian County by an F5 tornado, which tracked from 9 miles southwest of Taylorville to near Sharpsburg. 

1899 - Two women and one son lived to tell the story of being picked up by a tornado and carried more than a fourth of a mile, flying far above the church steeples, before being gently set down again. The young boy and one of the ladies said they had the pleasure of flying alongside a horse. The horse "kicked and struggled" as it flew high above, and was set down unharmed about a mile away. (The Weather Channel)

1908 - Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes over across the Central Gulf Coast States claiming the lives of 310 persons. The state of Mississippi was hardest hit. A tornado near Hattiesburg MS killed 143 persons and caused more than half a million dollars damage. Four violent tornadoes accounted for 279 of the 310 deaths. The deadliest of the four tornadoes swelled to a width of 2.5 miles as it passed near Amite LA. The tornado also leveled most of Purvis MS. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. Up to seven inches of rain drenched Virginia in three days. Morgantown WV received 4.27 inches in 24 hours, and flooding was reported in south central West Virginia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Low pressure produced high winds and severe thunderstorms in the Southern Plains Region. Strong thunderstorm winds destroyed two mobile homes at Whitt TX injuring two persons. Winds associated with the low pressure system gusted to 70 mph at Guadalupe Pass TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Twenty cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Russell KS was the hot spot in the nation with a reading of 101 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from Colorado to Wisconsin. Hail four and a half inches in diameter was reported at Sargeant NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern High Plains to north central Kansas. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, including one which injured four persons and caused 1.5 million dollars damage at Shattuck OK. Thunderstorms also produced softball size hail at Wheeler TX, wind gusts to 85 mph southwest of Arnett OK, and 13.45 inches of rain near Caldwell TX, which resulted in the worst flooding in recent memory for that area. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2003: The temperature soared to a maximum of 70 degrees in Juneau, Alaska. This is the earliest record of 70-degree reading to occur in Juneau. 

2010 - An EF-4 tornado up to 1.75 miles wide travels 149.25 miles through Mississippi, the widest and fourth longest path in Mississippi history. It left behind major destruction to businesses, churches and homes, four fatalities in Yazoo City and ten fatalities across the state,

2010: April Tornado Outbreak- During a significant severe weather outbreak across the South on April 22-25, 142 tornadoes raked the region, including 77 on April 24 alone. Ten died from the long-track tornado that swept across Mississippi on April 24. A long-lived twister left a trail of destruction extending over 149 miles from Louisiana through Mississippi, resulting in 10 deaths and 75 injuries. This EF4 storm, which grew to a width of 1.75 miles, sported the fourth longest track in Mississippi history. This storm destroyed part of Yazoo City, Mississippi. The Swiss Reinsurance Company estimated insured damages with this outbreak at $1.58 billion. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Office in Jackson, Mississippi.

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