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4 hours ago, bluewave said:

The cooler Euro Mid 80s in the warmer spots in Central NJ is probably the floor and the Canadian low 90s is the high end potential. Will probably come down to frontal timing and clouds. But the signal is there for the warmest readings of the year so far. 

 

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i'd take 85 that's perfect weather. hopefully it doesn't wobble

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2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad.


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Strong Nino we can work with, a record or near record Nino is a blast furnace of wet Pacific hangover breath all winter. 

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Strong Nino we can work with, a record or near record Nino is a blast furnace of wet Pacific hangover breath all winter. 

Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly


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This morning's low temperature in Central Park was 30°. That will likely be the last freeze this season.

Temperatures will likely top out in the middle 50s tomorrow. Afterward, it will turn warmer to end the week and start the weekend.

Temperatures will return to the 60s on Friday. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -17.45 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.494 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.0° (2.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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