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Tomorrow and Sunday will remain mild with highs in the middle and upper 60s. Some spots could reach 70° or a little warmer.

However, a cold front that will bring showers or a thundershower late Sunday or Sunday night will result in cooler conditions returning to the region on Monday. Temperatures through midweek will likely top out in the 50s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around March 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.02°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -4.90 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.917 today. 

 

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Even though we are averaging out on the warmer side, this is still a very active backdoor pattern for this time of year. Big spread on the highs between NJ and the CT Shoreline. Looks like this back and forth with the warmer days being more impressive than the cooler days will continue.

Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2026-03-08 73 24.7
2026-03-09 73 24.5
2026-03-10 82 33.2
2026-03-11 82 32.9
2026-03-12 64 14.6
2026-03-13 45 -4.7
2026-03-14 53 3.0
2026-03-15 46 -4.4
2026-03-16 67 16.3
2026-03-17 47 -4.0
2026-03-18 37 -14.3
2026-03-19 44 -7.7
2026-03-20 66 14.0
2026-03-21 60 7.6
2026-03-22 64 11.3
2026-03-23 52 -1.1
2026-03-24 50 -3.5
2026-03-25 55 1.2
2026-03-26 77 22.8
2026-03-27 65 10.4
2026-03-28 45 -10.0
2026-03-29 58 2.6
2026-03-30 73 17.2
2026-03-31 82 25.8
2026-04-01 81 24.4
2026-04-02 54 -3.0
2026-04-03 67 9.6


 

Data for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
2026-03-08 57 12.0
2026-03-09 64 18.7
2026-03-10 59 13.5
2026-03-11 58 12.2
2026-03-12 55 8.9
2026-03-13 40 -6.3
2026-03-14 49 2.4
2026-03-15 39 -7.9
2026-03-16 56 8.8
2026-03-17 55 7.5
2026-03-18 35 -12.8
2026-03-19 38 -10.1
2026-03-20 50 1.6
2026-03-21 54 5.3
2026-03-22 48 -1.0
2026-03-23 49 -0.4
2026-03-24 46 -3.7
2026-03-25 47 -3.1
2026-03-26 64 13.6
2026-03-27 57 6.2
2026-03-28 44 -7.1
2026-03-29 49 -2.5
2026-03-30 65 13.1
2026-03-31 72 19.8
2026-04-01 70 17.4
2026-04-02 49 -4.0
2026-04-03 55 1.6


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Today's warmth will be cut short with a BDCF coming through from east to west in the afternoon. Temps near 70 and above around noon drops into the 40's and 50's by the evening. Have a good chance at 70 here on the south shore with offshore winds to start. Only one 70+ day here so far and lately most days are barely making it into the 60's so we take days like this!

1pm HRRR:

hrrr-neng-t2m_f-5322000.thumb.png.42854d1529299a9df782dc91a9aee861.png

5pm HRRR:

hrrr-neng-t2m_f-5336400.thumb.png.7cf87d9728124089909973e98525d1f4.png

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69 / 59 winds coming back NNE and temps will frop toward 2 - 5 pm into the 50s.  Ahead of that quick surge to the 70s in this back and forth overall warm pattern.   Chill down Tue-Wed then warm up  with 70s in the warm spots perhaps more, the end of the week and into next weekend, we'll see if we can remain relatively dry with <.50 the next week / 7 days.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 82 (1950)
NYC: 80 (1892)
LGA: 76 (2010)
JFK: 73 (2010)

 

Lows:

EWR: 23 (1954)
NYC: 21 (1874)
LGA: 24 !(1954)
JFK: 29 (1995)

Historical:

 

1804 - A large tornado crossed six Georgia counties killing at least eleven persons near Augusta. (David Ludlum)

 

1863: Ten inch snow fell from 1700 hours on the third until 1200 hours on the fourth at Naval Observatory in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1893: The first week of April back in 1893, was one of the warmest weeks ever during April at Oklahoma City, OK. From the 3rd through the 7th, the high temperature averaged an incredible 94°. In fact, each of the daily high temperatures over that five day period remains a record more than 100 years later. Despite the week of heat, April 1893 does not rank as one of the top ten warmest Aprils on record in Oklahoma City. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1923: An F4 tornado killed 15 people and injured 150 at Alexandria and Pineville, LA. 142 homes and businesses in Pineville were destroyed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1933 - Pigeon River Bridge, MN, reported 28 inches of snow, which established the state 24 hour snowfall record. (4th-5th) (The Weather Channel)

1945: Snow began falling during the morning on the 3rd and continued through the evening on this date. Considerable glazing and wire trouble was reported to the south of La Crosse, WI, Viroqua, WI and as far south as Decorah, IA. Grand Meadow, MN recorded 17" of snow while Winona, MN checked in with 10" and La Crosse, WI had 7" of snow. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1955: A severe three-day spring snowstorm came to an end over north-central Wyoming and south-central Montana. Sheridan, WY had near blizzard conditions for 43 hours and recorded 22.7 inches of snow in 24 hours on the 3rd to set a new 24 hour snowfall record. Billings, MT set their all-time record greatest daily snowfall with 23.7 inches and 39 inches of snow in two days. The water equivalent was four inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1956: The maximum temperature for the date is 85°F. in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1966: One of the strongest tornadoes in Florida's history moved in from the Gulf of Mexico and ripped through Pinellas, Hillsborough, Polk, and Osceola Counties. Damage was very severe in the towns of Gibsonia and Galloway in Polk County. 11 people were killed and 350 were injured. The tornado was classified as F4. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1973 - Sandia Crest, NM, reported a snow depth of 95 inches, a record for the state of New Mexico. (The Weather Channel)

1974: The worst tornado outbreak of the 20th century known as the infamous "Super-Outbreak" ended early on this date. Severe thunderstorms spawned 148 tornadoes in 13 U.S. States, including Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, and New York; and the Canadian province of Ontario. The combined path length of all tornadoes during this period was approximately 2,500 miles with as many as 335 fatalities, 5,484 injuries, and an estimated $600+ million loss (in 1974 dollars). Of the 148 tornadoes, at least 118 had paths of a mile or more. The average path was 18.7 miles. Ten states were declared federal disaster areas. The intensity of the 148 tornadoes: F5 – 6, F4 – 24, F3 – 34, F2 – 32, F1 – 33, F0 – 19 (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1975: A severe early spring storm continued over the northeastern U.S. began on this date and blasted the area for three days. Wind gusts reached 87 mph at West Harpswell, ME and Boston, MA recorded its lowest April pressure on record with 28.68 inches of mercury. 1 to 4 feet of snow fell from western New York to northern Maine with the higher elevations receiving the most. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1983 - Colorado was in the midst of a three day winter storm. Buckhorn Mountain, located west of Fort Collins, received 64 inches of snow. (Storm Data)

1987 - Rains of five to eight inches drenched eastern New York State, and ten persons were killed in a bridge collapse over Schoharie Creek. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Sunny and warm weather prevailed across the nation. Fort Smith AR reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Appalachians. The thunderstorms spawned seventeen tornadoes, including one which caused two million dollars damage at Baldwin AL. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 90 mph at Bremen GA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A deep low pressure system in northern New York State brought heavy snow to parts of western and central New York during the day. The snowfall total of 5.8 inches at Buffalo was a record for the date, and 9.5 inches was reported at Rochester. Snowfall totals ranged up to 11 inches at Warsaw. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1995: A strong arctic cold front moved south through the upper Midwest bringing dramatic temperature drops. In Gays Mills, WI, the temperature fell from 65 °F to 12 °F. In Sparta, WI, the temperature fell from 6 °F to 9 °F. In Cresco, IA, the temperature fell from 64 °F to 7 °F. In Waukon, IA, the temperature fell from 66 °F to 10 °F. In Caledonia, MN, the temperature fell from 64 °F to 8 °F. In Grand Meadow, MN, the temperature fell from 62 °F to 1 °F. This was the greatest diurnal temperature change at all six locations. In addition, both Grand Meadow, MN with 1 °F and Alma, WI with 7 °F had their coldest April temperature on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1999: On a golf course in Culpeper County, around 4 pm, 37 year old man was struck and killed under a tree. The rest of his group had already safely retreated to the club house when the incident occurred. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

2006: Lightning struck a brother and his sister as they were lowering the blinds on the guest house on Tutuila (American Samoa). His sister was killed, her brother survived. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA)

 

 

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7 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

We seem to have topped out at 66⁰ here.  Pretty steady around 65⁰ at the moment.  It's dropped from the mid 60s earlier to the low 50s around Montauk.  The cape is in the 40s.  This is very April.

You can see the back door front on radar, it’s around the Shinnecock Canal. Enjoying the 65 here while it lasts before more garbage later this afternoon and rain tomorrow. 

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