CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:04 PM December looks warm on that, but that seems to be the call from many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM Really all this strat PV hoopla because of some 10mb charts I mean come on lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:30 PM Just now, weatherwiz said: Really all this strat PV hoopla because of some 10mb charts I mean come on lol If we had some blocking or maybe Bering Sea ridging then it’s possible we could see impacts, but we will be fighting the Pacific influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Tuesday at 11:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:38 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If we had some blocking or maybe Bering Sea ridging then it’s possible we could see impacts, but we will be fighting the Pacific influence. It is going to take a LOT to overcome the Pacific influences. The other thing too is it looks like the brunt of strongest influences from what may transpire with the PV will be more over Europe than our side of the Globe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:56 PM 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It is going to take a LOT to overcome the Pacific influences. The other thing too is it looks like the brunt of strongest influences from what may transpire with the PV will be more over Europe than our side of the Globe Nobody is arguing that it won’t stretch or split. But the vibe coming from all this acts like a colonial winter is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted Wednesday at 02:16 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:16 AM 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: December looks warm on that, but that seems to be the call from many. Yes, it is. Not as torch as it could be though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:42 AM 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: It is going to take a LOT to overcome the Pacific influences. The other thing too is it looks like the brunt of strongest influences from what may transpire with the PV will be more over Europe than our side of the Globe If there's anything we should've learned in recent years, it's that we can't fight the PAC. If it's a disaster, our winter here in the lowlands is a disaster. My head is rarely ever into the preseason winter forecasting stuff, but if I were to hazard a guess I'd say December is a blowtorch, early January many will have canceled winter, and then we see a decent stretch mid to late January into at least half of Feb. We'll have plenty of storm chances with the juiced STJ, so we just need to time things right to produce something. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:58 PM 11 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: If there's anything we should've learned in recent years, it's that we can't fight the PAC. If it's a disaster, our winter here in the lowlands is a disaster. My head is rarely ever into the preseason winter forecasting stuff, but if I were to hazard a guess I'd say December is a blowtorch, early January many will have canceled winter, and then we see a decent stretch mid to late January into at least half of Feb. We'll have plenty of storm chances with the juiced STJ, so we just need to time things right to produce something. We have some cancelling now…it’s comical. I mean, if that’s how one feels…then stay off the board until it’s time to gloat at the end of March. If we end up under 20” for the season as a whole, than I will certainly give the rat callers their credit. I have No issues doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Wednesday at 08:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:00 PM 4 hours ago, WinterWolf said: We have some cancelling now…it’s comical. I mean, if that’s how one feels…then stay off the board until it’s time to gloat at the end of March. If we end up under 20” for the season as a whole, than I will certainly give the rat callers their credit. I have No issues doing that. Honestly, no need to do that. The ones who cancel winter every year before it begins and tout warm this and snowless that absolutely disappear in spring when its time to own up on their massive fails- they just start touting how warm the next winter will be. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Wednesday at 11:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:13 PM Warm and rainy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Thursday at 05:09 AM Share Posted Thursday at 05:09 AM On 10/27/2026 at 11:58 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: November is going to look a lot like October. Just shave off ~5 degrees on average. Instead of 60, it’ll be 55, etc That’s actually not far above climo. I think the normal high for BOS mid November is low 50s. It’s still mid 40s in the opening days of December. Know thou climate. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 01:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:27 PM 8 hours ago, weathafella said: That’s actually not far above climo. I think the normal high for BOS mid November is low 50s. It’s still mid 40s in the opening days of December. Know thou climate. Lol….when I read that a couple days ago, I thought the same. Which was that’s pretty close to normal. Of course he was implying that his temps he mentioned were way above average, which they were not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted yesterday at 03:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:12 PM Just have to wait and see. The monster El Nino isn't good news, but it's not the only news. Why whine in advance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:18 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted yesterday at 06:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:28 PM Nature man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted yesterday at 07:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:21 PM 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: Just curious....do you have a rough idea of how many bloggers you follow? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM 24 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Just curious....do you have a rough idea of how many bloggers you follow? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wonder if anybody stopped and wondered what will happen when the PV strengthens December and January? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder if anybody stopped and wondered what will happen when the PV strengthens December and January? I wonder what would happen if my aunt had balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 17 hours ago Author Share Posted 17 hours ago 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is my track record for the 15 cities that I do seasonal snowfall forecasts for....mid Atlantic killed me in a couple of seasons....13th will be next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder if anybody stopped and wondered what will happen when the PV strengthens December and January? What was the point of his post? Like ‘ever stopped and wondered what would happen if you gave Sydney Sweeney a zerbert?’ btw I’ll let you all know what happens as soon as I complete my fact finding mission. Who gives a shit about the PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago On 10/27/2026 at 7:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Nobody is arguing that it won’t stretch or split. But the vibe coming from all this acts like a colonial winter is coming. No but regardless what happens in the north, many of these videos are predicting doomsday snow and ice events in the deep south. Just seems a little over the top to me. There are a few really cool click bait screen grabs though of the polar vortex swirling northeast of and over the Canadian maritimes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said: No but regardless what happens in the north, many of these videos are predicting doomsday snow and ice events in the deep south. Just seems a little over the top to me. There are a few really cool click bait screen grabs though of the polar vortex swirling northeast of and over the Canadian maritimes lol It’s all BS. Don’t expect much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can we make it three years in a row in coastal Carolina? First photo is Myrtle Beach SC second is a few miles away in Calbash NC right over the SC line in February, was back in East Hartland right after that for the blizzard. That second photo was a couple days after the storm where Ocean effect dumped 15 inches, needless to say plowing snow doesn’t happen there. The one of Myrtle was about six inches and that was all snow no mix. The year before we had almost 6 inches in Myrtle Beach. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 21 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Wonder if anybody stopped and wondered what will happen when the PV strengthens December and January? Wonder if anbody stopped and wondered what will happen if they issue a stop-payment on their subscription? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago hm not aware of any teleconnectors for the latter half of November but from 7th to 16th or so, that's not really a cold pattern. The teleconnectors for that earlier time range are indeed -AO/+PNA ...but this is one of those situations where the numerology is lying about the super synoptic aspects, and the actual mean spatial layout. The +PNA is almost all being caused by strong neg anomalies NE of Hawaii...but the flow subtending down stream over the Conus is very zonal... so it's misleading to some degree. As to the -AO...that's suspicious too. The actual orientation of the heights/contouring show an annular structure about the AO domain, but the domain itself happens to have modest positive anomalies. That's the problem with using strictly the geopotential anomalies to compute the orthogonal/eof derivatives, particularly when the heights everywhere are about a coffee break from kicking off the super extinction event heh seriously, it's closer to an annular flow type just happening to be above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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