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Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs


Torch Tiger
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Today
Snow showers likely before 2pm, then scattered rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
 
:snowing:
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13 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The (not so) sci-fi version of this El Nino...

It will rise to historic proportions, but ... no one saw the bigger issue coming - though in retrospect, really should have. Why? because it already happened once, in 2023.  The whole planet surged, by almost .4 C spanning a 2.5 month period that spring, brining the planet perilously close to the theorized threshold of +1.5 C  over the IR.   Only this time ... by a whole degree C       Such that not only are we at 2.5 over the Industrial Revolution entry mean, it is so crazy warm that relative ONI renders almost meaningless outside of the immediate tropical atmosphere.  Vaguely coupling to the mid latitude pattern ( meaning weakly correlating)   

It's going to be the first panic year of this ongoing CC explosion, which just moves slower than human perception - geologically?   It's detonating.  

0 summer ice in 5 years.  

Roth slides into the ocean...   Global tsunamis claims a billion lives

Panic lol what a doomer

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I think a strong EL Nino has some pretty high odds, you have some anomalously warm subsurface sea temperatures in the equatorial PAC and have already significantly weakened the easterlies with some impressive WWBs as of late. We shall see what happens though over the next 6-8 weeks but if the ongoing trends continue through these next 6-8 weeks I think we are definitely headed towards a strong EL Nino.

 

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