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On the Rocks? March 5-6 mess


HoarfrostHubb
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Predicting significant ice is for fools. 

I’m one of em. 
 

Seems like only areas to receive signicsnt freezing rain is in central Ma.

 

Low level cold underperformed, 950 to 850 warmth overperformed. 

 

Even had mostly sleet up here, with poor rates throughout. Not much out there, maybe an inch. At least this largely verified in my book; not the sleet but the paltry qpf.

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Warning flags were there. That elevated warm nose was just warm enough to produce mostly sleet CON-south. I think all models underestimated it a bit, but some of the mesos were a little more sleety looking. It was so thin on forecast soundings just above the cold wedge that models may have needed more vertical levels to really “see” that full +1C in there…just guessing there.

I thought 2m temps looked fairly spot on although I didn’t focus on what mesos had for everyone. 

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13 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

any reports in N MA? nothing is plotted yet on the interactive map...im guessing there was about 1-3 N of RT2?

1807699048_Screenshot2026-03-06064940.thumb.png.83fa66cf1b0c104f93c8f7a08255e55b.png

Funny you post this. I'm lying in bed too lazy to get up. I looked at my webcam and guessed about an inch in Lowell. Checked the NWS map and the only post was Lowell reporting 1" (wasn't me), so I can stay in bed although I do have to pee. F'k it I'm up. Sucks getting old.

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10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Warning flags were there. That elevated warm nose was just warm enough to produce mostly sleet CON-south. I think all models underestimated it a bit, but some of the mesos were a little more sleety looking. It was so thin on forecast soundings just above the cold wedge that models may have needed more vertical levels to really “see” that full +1C in there…just guessing there.

I thought 2m temps looked fairly spot on although I didn’t focus on what mesos had for everyone. 

Feels like we slightly underperformed on lift/QPF too. Ended up closer to the more flaccid guidance. Those big solutions down here were ripping an inch and quarter of QPF easy in the pike corridor  

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10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Andover 4.0

Ashburnham 3.2

Lowell 1.0

Westminster 0.8

My wife works in Andover ...right off of 93...she told me at her location there is around 1.5 inches of snow/sleet.. 

I'd love to know which part of Andover that measurement took place..

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1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

My wife works in Andover ...right off of 93...she told me at her location there is around 1.5 inches of snow/sleet.. 

I'd love to know which part of Andover that measurement took place..

image.png

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