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March Madness


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2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

There will be a few chances. Yesterday full Mast ahead…today done lol.  A fickle model hugging crew. 

Probably a few chances but so far nothing has gotten inside 7 days really. 

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5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This was yesterday afternoon…not the night before.  

 

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I think yesterdays 6z Euro AI was the last favorable run

12z AI OP was still good, but then the ensembles sort of went away from that. That was mid aftn for the ensembles. Then 18z cancelled. Once it went to the EPS and did not waver, I figured the weenie AI run was wrong. 

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5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I'd safely say we can punt the next week for any meaningful snow in SNE.  If it's not going to snow, just give me warmth

The next week only gets us to Monday the 16th..it was that day and beyond when it starts to look decent. But we’ll see. You on the cape…I get that. 
 

Temp went up as I drove…73 degrees..just wow. 

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The PNA index could fit an even in there and it wouldn't be an egregious correlation ... However, given to the time of year and the tenor of the guidance combined, those factors lean me to thinking it's more a period with active cold fronts - each imparting testicle squeezes to spring/warm enthusiasts ... while simultaneously not doing jack shit for winter/cold holdouts - who probably would smugly take that as a win  because their petty but that's something else.

LOL

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I haven't really followed the Winter 26/27 talk, but are we talking about a Super Nino? 

So we'll get a more active subtropical jet with more storm chances, with above normal temps. Kinda roll the dice with the storm tracks and lack of artic outbreaks..but could be worse I think. 

Eh, I'm think i'm mixing that up with Strong El Nino..in which case we might be fooked

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13 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I haven't really followed the Winter 26/27 talk, but are we talking about a Super Nino? 

So we'll get a more active subtropical jet with more storm chances, with above normal temps. Kinda roll the dice with the storm tracks and lack of artic outbreaks..but could be worse I think. 

Eh, I'm think i'm mixing that up with Strong El Nino..in which case we might be fooked

A Super Nino would almost certainly suck....but I'll roll the dice any day with a mod/strong Nino as long as it's not east based. 

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13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s not even a bad pattern either, we’re just back to having a few things not go quite as we want it.

Cold, cutter, cold, cutter pattern...you can see how easily it would have been to get a good one in there. Still think we'll prob get at least another interior threat before the month is out. That PV doesn't really go anywhere...tries to retreat slightly but then drifts back south on ensembles. 

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