March Madness

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Oh its only about snow now lol isn't a torch with 14 to 20 OTG bigger waste. Unless you like running water and eventually mud.

Waste of an airmass. Too bad we could not take advantage. Absolutely hate the time of year when there is good pack and nothing but slow bleed. But here we are. Keep hoping this week works out but doesn’t seem to want to at the moment.

[dendrite]

Glue factory…cold but likely overdone

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

PV does try to move south but ridge is a little too far west for my liking this time of year. Hopefully shifts east. 

 In general it becomes more tenuous the deeper we go into March for an impactful winter wx outbreak, obviously it can still happen. We know there have been some truly historic winter storms mid to late March. But it’s a back broken feel, I wouldn’t be too upset if we faded the opportunity. I wouldn’t kick a KU chance out of bed either. We’ll see

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Glue factory…cold but likely overdone

Yeah it’s tossed. Obviously cold but tossed.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

 In general it becomes more tenuous the deeper we go into March for an impactful winter wx outbreak, obviously it can still happen. We know there have been some truly historic winter storms mid to late March. But it’s a back broken feel, I wouldn’t be too upset if we faded the opportunity. I wouldn’t kick a KU chance out of bed either. We’ll see

It’s enough to keep me curious though. Big cold in Canada with a rapidly warming srn US can be fun. But things have to be timed just right. 

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah it’s tossed. Obviously cold but tossed.

And I posted 6z which was a little warmer than the 00z steve posted. 00z had 1° at EWR. EWR hasn’t had single digits in March since 1980.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

And I posted 6z which was a little warmer than the 00z steve posted. 00z had 1° at EWR. EWR hasn’t had single digits in March since 1980.

My daughter loves crafts and I could use some Elmers so this is good timing. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Euro op 2m temps have been shit…but yeah there will be some in and out cold. 

Then you get that 8 to 10 on the Euro Congrats Dendrite. 

Wind chills below zero after 50 on the weekend yuck

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

 In general it becomes more tenuous the deeper we go into March for an impactful winter wx outbreak, obviously it can still happen. We know there have been some truly historic winter storms mid to late March. But it’s a back broken feel, I wouldn’t be too upset if we faded the opportunity. I wouldn’t kick a KU chance out of bed either. We’ll see

We have had last 2 weeks of March as big potential for a month. Let's do this

[dendrite]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Then you get that 8 to 10 on the Euro Congrats Dendrite. 

Wind chills below zero after 50 on the weekend yuck

Yeah…not a fan, but par for the course up here to start March. I’ll be bitching on Monday for sure.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

My daughter loves crafts and I could use some Elmers so this is good timing. 

Thankfully it stayed on board and was our Mariano when Clemens ran out of gas.  Not glued  screwed or tatooed

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah…not a fan, but par for the course up here to start March. I’ll be bitching on Monday for sure.

Skiers mid week with new pow. Man I miss it. Spending 3 days at the Jordan Hotel at Sunday river 23rd to 26th. 3 amigos who skied that week for 35 years having a non skiing last hurrah.  Hope we get smoked Ala March 01

[wokeupthisam]

12 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wonder if some media source or the other come July 20 puts out a headline that says something like, “southern Texas was the warning we all missed”

 

100° at any time of the year is NBD in far south Texas.  Don't ask me how I know, I'm suppressing those bad memories...

[Damage In Tolland]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s enough to keep me curious though. Big cold in Canada with a rapidly warming srn US can be fun. But things have to be timed just right. 

You’re curious in more ways than 1…

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You’re curious in more ways than 1…

 

[Modfan2]

49 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Skiers mid week with new pow. Man I miss it. Spending 3 days at the Jordan Hotel at Sunday river 23rd to 26th. 3 amigos who skied that week for 35 years having a non skiing last hurrah.  Hope we get smoked Ala March 01

Yawgoo Valley might have a better base than resorts out west

[kdxken]

42 beautiful degrees already.

[jbenedet]

Effff even the big snow potentials at this point.

 

10 types a gawge out there now.

 

 

[jbenedet]

If we can ease out of winter would be most preferred —keep the lawn pack protected until climo eliminates risk of a hard freeze. 

Should that happen could make for a most beautiful April…

One could wish.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

As usual here. 
 

[dendrite]

Yup…we clouds now. Should get some showers here soon.

[klw]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yup…we clouds now. Should get some showers here soon.

Don't get too hyped, they lasted less than 5 minutes here.

[dendrite]

22 minutes ago, klw said:

Don't get too hyped, they lasted less than 5 minutes here.

I’m trying to think if this would be the first liquid precip of Feb.

[mreaves]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’m trying to think if this would be the first liquid precip of Feb.

If that’s it, it was sprinkles mixed with flurries. 

[wxeyeNH]

39.7F  first batch of showers were elevated here.  Brightening to the west now. 

[Typhoon Tip]

 

heh, that 0z Euro was quite the spring enthusiast placation.   What a look! 

The last three cycles of the GFS, including this 12z ( so four then ..) suddenly begin doing everything in the models power to rasp the ridge flat and not be as impressiv, shy of inventing physics.  LOL.  This interferes/mutes the 6th -12th warm signal to something comparatively less than any other systemic guidance technology that exists.  Not sure I buy it.. but we'll see.     

I still confident that we gin up melt and mud season on the heels of this cold nut punch tomorrow through Wednesday...  I don't have much confidence in going crazy on the top side despite the Euro and CMC's 565 dm thickness plume(s).  It's just too far over climo until that's < 72 hours

[CoastalWx]

Gfs has deep 70s next week. I’m sure it will fail, but we pray.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs has deep 70s next week. I’m sure it will fail, but we pray.

huh, really. 

Heh, I just posted how it looked shirked a bit compared to the Euro and CMC.  I'll take another look

[Modfan2]

50F so far today, feels like 70! I got to do some sno blowing around the house; felt nice!

[MJO812]

Lets track this