mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time. Rap similar as Hrrr and with mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, mappy said: Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time. I think most the accumulation doesn’t come to after 3pm no matter what anyways. If we can get anything during the day that will just help boost totals. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 HRRR looks either east or drier to me tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curlyq Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Do I need to get the snowblower out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Compared to 18z, 00z HRRR is a MASSIVE jump east. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: I think most the accumulation doesn’t come to after 3pm no matter what anyways. If we can get anything during the day that will just help boost totals. I'll take a drive or 2 up to Pigeon Hills and I guarantee you they'll be all snow with temps so close as what's progged. Happened several times since I've been up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, baltosquid said: HRRR looks either east or drier to me tbh Drier and thus warmer for many. And maybe east too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 NAMing incoming soon if the latest SREFs are the indicator. 0z HRRR not as good as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 That’s not a massive jump east lol. It’s just weaker 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 HRRR was slower with the northern peice of energy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Compared to 18z, 00z HRRR is a MASSIVE jump east. Not really. Also I wouldn’t put much stock in the hrrr outside its normal 18 hour range 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, TSSN+ said: Not really. Also I wouldn’t put much stock in the hrrr outside its normal 18 hour range Yeah i have no idea WTF he's talking about. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, jayyy said: That’s not a massive jump east lol. It’s just weaker 20 miles west and it's near identical to 18z imho. Just a slight jog this run. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 how mt. mclean does this i'm not sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Nice backside love 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 20 miles west and it's near identical to 18z imho. Just a slight jog this run. It’s still snowing long than 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: HRRR was slower with the northern peice of energy . I think JB was talking about the southern lobe of the LP over the GL and how the euro was holding it back slightly before it joined with the eastern LP and that was what was causing the euro to have lower impact totals. Maybe the HRRR is doing the same thing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: That’s not a massive jump east lol. It’s just weaker Its more south than east. Probably just as good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Compared to 18z, 00z HRRR is a MASSIVE jump east. Pauly, put the gun down and have yourself a drink! 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 back end is much better too 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Pauly, put the gun down and have yourself a drink! Haha ok, on it. Plus it's hrrr, who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, baltosquid said: HRRR looks either east or drier to me tbh It is for the western edges but not for the CCB area. That actually improved. A lot of the drier look is from the initial wave being drier upfront. It was too warm at the surface and likely plays a role in the PBL and expected transition later. Will have to monitor that. NAMNest seems to be handling those thermals well, so I’d put more stock in that right now. 5 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Compared to 18z, 00z HRRR is a MASSIVE jump east. Surprisingly, I thought the same, but turns out not to be the case. It’s almost on top of its 18z positioning at 06z Monday at the same 979 strength. Key is the western area was drier while the CCB juiced up. Still churning and burning with a hell of a snowfall for the eastern shore to the northeast. I’m on the edge, but even still 6-8” with it still snowing. Model ratio snow calculation has been excellent in these scenarios, so I’ll be paying close attention to it tomorrow as we move forward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 14 minutes ago, mappy said: Hrrr is toasty. 37 for a high imby tomorrow. Probably white rain for a time. ~.4qpf before the surface gets to 32 (not taking into effect evap cooling), and over 1 inch qpf after that until midday Monday. Amazing if it happens. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, bncho said: back end is much better too This event is gonna blow for 95 and west . Been doing this a long time. If I wrong I still win. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 back end is much better tooDont let raven see this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 That backend snow is nice. If I could lock in something plausible, give me warning level up front then some snow globe stuff in daytime for a couple inches. That is the ideal outcome. But I am a little nervous about that not delivering; feels like it often doesn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 The NAM has started. Prepare to get demolished. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Dont let raven see this hanging slider right there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, bncho said: back end is much better too Tell us more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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