Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[stormtracker]

So the Euro had two distinctive pieces of s/w energy...now they are merged

[stormtracker]

All that said, it's still going to look nothing like the GFS.  Coastal pulling away

[bncho]

HAPPY HOUR OF THE DECADE!

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

So the Euro had two distinctive pieces of s/w energy...now they are merged

Now we just need it to deepen at our latitude

[winter_warlock]

Just now, nw baltimore wx said:

What hour are you at?

Happy hour 

[Chris78]

Just now, stormtracker said:

All that said, it's still going to look nothing like the GFS.  Coastal pulling away

 

Just now, bncho said:

HAPPY HOUR OF THE DECADE!

Lol

[DDweatherman]

It’s better.. that’s what you should read between the lines of these unclear roller coaster posts. 

[bncho]

It's A LOT better

[winter_warlock]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

It’s better.. that’s what you should read between the lines of these unclear roller coaster posts. 

Yeah not much else being said 

[AmericanWxFreak]

Damn 0z is gonna be a movie


.

[snowfan]

Stop building the drama, randy, and focus on the end product. 

[psuhoffman]

Just now, Weather Will said:

Sir:  your a great poster but maybe you need some rest; little crazy tonight.

Just post some ensemble means 

eta I’m currently medicated for reasons I won’t go into so maybe I’m impaired BUT I stand by what I said even if the delivery is off 

[Paleocene]

but what about the IVT guys

[winter_warlock]

Just now, bncho said:

It's A LOT better

Yeah that is much better!! Tonight 00z suite gonna be big!!

[stormtracker]

75, pulling away off the coast...looks about the same as 12z...so no sensible changes at the surface, but the H5 is a nod to the GFS I think.   Now I'm seeing the later panel..it's wetter for the area, but looks to be ITV related..it's actually a good bit wetter

ETA..it's significantly wetter

[Weather Will]

Big move in at least the EURO AI. We thought the AI was locked into an out to sea path.  It is NOT.  

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

I guess one of the most important things, ignoring the ridiculous coastal the GFS has been showing, is how is the Euro handling the IVT on this run?  Is that improved at least?

[Terpeast]

Just now, stormtracker said:

75, pulling away off the coast...looks about the same as 12z...so no sensible changes at the surface, but the H5 is a nod to the GFS I think.   Now I'm seeing the later panel..it's wetter for the area, but looks to be ITV related..it's actually a good bit wetter

ETA..it's significantly wetter

More neg tilt at h5 with precip axis further west from 12z

[mappy]

45 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

You depressos babbling about the cave is worthless. We are here to witness  winter weather circumstances and not the end of such. It just didn’t caved so now onto  the next cave?? Shut up.!

Did you forget to take your afternoon nap? 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

Stop building the drama, randy, and focus on the end product. 

Dude, I'm not trying to clip like bnacho.  I'd rather wait and get it right.  I waited.  Not trying to build drama.  Just trying to be right

[Cobalt]

Pretty nice change on the AI Euro..

[Demeter]

Obviously we do not know the true outcome, but from what I remember, the first one to flinch is usually the wrong(er) one.  That gives me a little hope of seeing some snow. 

[DMAC98]

 

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

So the Euro had two distinctive pieces of s/w energy...now they are merged

[brooklynwx99]

absolute fucking cinema

[nw baltimore wx]

I'm curious to know how much precipitation falls after sunset Sunday.

[BristowWx]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's A LOT better

Yep.  

[mappy]

Just now, Demeter said:

Obviously we do not know the true outcome, but from what I remember, the first one to flinch is usually the wrong(er) one.  That gives me a little hope of seeing some snow. 

I think most will see snow. Even if it doesn’t accumulate 

[Snowman.]

GFS about to score a coup?

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Cobalt said:

Pretty nice change on the AI Euro..

Wow nice jump!!

[Amped]

Just now, DMAC98 said:

 

Same heights out ahead, and its not digging further south or negative tilting earlier.