MuddyWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I know it's early, but bufkit looks pretty good for BOS. 12z GFS is 13:1, 12.4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It's starting... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: S Wey Where you and dad live North wey we live in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Masswx said: North wey we live in No you are mistaken. Dad has always said S Wey . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 I just got my rental car. Going to Boston for stuff tonight, go to NYC Saturday. So the michelle should start trending better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 37 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: What did Boston get for the Jan storm? Was it around 23”? I think 23.2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No you are mistaken. Dad has always said S Wey . Don’t interact 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Does it include today's stuff? Yeah my 1/2" is included in the 16. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: I just got my rental car. Going to Boston for stuff tonight, go to NYC Saturday. So the michelle should start trending better. You returning Sunday? Should be doable driving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t interact How can you/ he not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: How can you/ he not? He was just asking me why does he saying that and I said to piss me off. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mj-pvd Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 48 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Isn’t there only like 4-5” left there OTG? I’m on college hill on the downslope, I have at least a foot in my yard still only get a few hours of sun a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Scooter teaching the child the ways of the jungle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: You returning Sunday? Should be doable driving. No I’m returning TUESDAY. That’s why I always know this storm was coming. I’m going to miss it. Was home for 18 days. Hence the Name of the thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He was just asking me why does he saying that and I said to piss me off. Angry dad 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I never imagined the GFS/GEFS scoring a coup against almost every available modeling system. Yet, here we are... As we continue to see westward trends, the NBM (13z) is starting to beef up mean-snowfall considerably. This doesn't include today's snow event (map goes from Sunday 1am to Tues. 1am). As modeled, it looks like it'll start snowing b/n ~1pm-7pm on Sunday and ending late Monday night across SNE. For clarity, the NWP members incorporated into the NBM are (generally) lagged by 1-2 cycles... For example, the cycles utilized for the 13z NBM are 00z (EPS), 06z (GEFS), and 03z (SREF). Additionally, on DESI, the 13z NBM is the most up-to-date cycle available, so on top of the 1-2 cycle delay, you have another 1 cycle delay for post-processing... I understand why people are so confused with the NBM's snowfall depiction (not even considering how weights are incorporated which vary by time). You can see which cycles are used at https://blend.mdl.nws.noaa.gov/nbm-dashboard. In the past, I only added the weights (https://vlab.noaa.gov/documents/6609493/32850490/CONUS_SNOICEACCUM.pdf). Based on the most recent model cycles, the mean will bump up next cycle too. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NWS says meh. Maybe the cape gets something. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 38 minutes ago, scoob40 said: How about Charley Bagley ? Here is the deal with the TWS located on what was Constitution Plaza... I spent quite a bit of time there back in the day; they would actually let me in to watch what they were doing, as long as I stayed out of the way. Ken Garee was the most conservative of all the forecasters at TWS; hated to hype a storm unless it was going to be a monster. On his Sunday afternoon update the day before the 78 Blizzard, on WTIC AM, he made the following statement: "Wherever you are during the late afternoon period on Monday (the day of the Blizzard of 78) is where more likely than not you will be for the next 2 or 3 days." I never forgot the call; and at the time he was making that statement, I was looking at the LFM model panels, which had just come off of the Naval weather facsimile I had just purchased. It nailed the capture and the retrograde perfectly... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He was just asking me why does he saying that and I said to piss me off. We get under skin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, FXWX said: Here is the deal with the TWS located on what was Constitution Plaza... I spent quite a bit of time there back in the day; they would actually let me in to watch what they were doing, as long as I stayed out of the way. Ken Garee was the most conservative of all the forecasters at TWS; hated to hype a storm unless it was going to be a monster. On his Sunday afternoon update the day before the 78 Blizzard, on WTIC AM, he made the following statement: "Wherever you are during the late afternoon period on Monday (the day of the Blizzard of 78) is where more likely than not you will be for the next 2 or 3 days." I never forgot the call; and at the time he was making that statement, I was looking at the LFM model panels, which had just come off of the Naval weather facsimile I had just purchased. It nailed the capture and the retrograde perfectly... How is/was that possible? I mean yeah it was a lot of snow, but it was 1978 not 1888. They still had plenty of big trucks with plows, and salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 7 minutes ago, kdxken said: NWS says meh. Maybe the cape gets something. Cocked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cocked? they probably want to make sure there's no shift east before making bigger changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 18z NAM running hopefully shows a hit this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Thus far 18z NAM has shifted everything west (24hr out), probably a good thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, ineedsnow said: they probably want to make sure there's no shift east before making bigger changes They may want today’s system to clear first so the multiple headlines don’t cause confusion. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Antecedent heights are higher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Oh boy oh boy! 6hr increment pbp 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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