“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west.

Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says 

Even my area is close to double digits.  Was expecting 0”.  Let’s see what happens

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west.

Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says 

Yes, You'll see this system expand the field some as is start to mature and occlude a bit.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea 

Trendy but I'm still very rug pull skeptical.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

That run looks like Jan 2022 up here.

[RDRY]

CMC 21 MB deeper than 18z at 78 hours. Models are still struggling with this evolution.

[dryslot]

0z Euro will be telling to see if 18z wasn't a head fake.

[DavisStraight]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west.

Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says 

Good things happen when your negative, don't get positive on us now.

[weathafella]

Yeah cmc bales from a blizzard the last minute but the trend at least so far is a big hit for many.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yes, You'll see this system expand the field some as is start to mature and occlude a bit.

I think ship is sailing soon on totally getting rid of the LBSW, but at least get it up here.

[MuddyWx]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea 

hey still 960mb at 39N 69W and would hit eastern areas pretty good

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think ship is sailing soon on totally getting rid of the LBSW, but at least get it up here.

Its heading that direction on the 0z runs, I just want to see it get as much lat as possible if its going to do the ENE slide.

[Prismshine Productions]

GEFS mean west of 18z through hr60, hugging the Carolina coast

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[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Its heading that direction on the 0z runs, I just want to see it get as much lat as possible if its going to do the ENE slide.

Could end up a drift tease of clouds and light snow but better than tracking cold fronts. 

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

GEFS mean west of 18z through hr60, hugging the Carolina coast

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LBSW?

[Go Kart Mozart]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea 

I thought it looked great at h500 at 72hrs, then made a huge convection jump at 78hrs.

[Go Kart Mozart]

Anyone have an early Ukie?

[dryslot]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Could end up a drift tease of clouds and light snow but better than tracking cold fronts. 

And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense.

[ineedsnow]

GEFS west at 78

[MJO812]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

GEFS west at 78

 

[MuddyWx]

ukmet whiff but looked better than 12z

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense.

Monday is still fantasy "getting closer" model cosplay but I'm intrigued. I think there is potential for some powdery snow. Also,  it's less stressful to think about, knowing snow is coming tomorrow. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Holy smokes the number of hits


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[Go Kart Mozart]

Just now, MuddyWx said:

ukmet whiff but looked better than 12z

It moved the low from the Cabo Verde to the Azores.  Tic tic.  Seriously, it has a few light rain showers for DC!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro 

[DavisStraight]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense.

Someone's gonna be on the outside looking in, this one won't satisfy everyone.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro 

But you have to look at where those verification scores are with that model

[brooklynwx99]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro 

if it becomes an outlier it will be considered less. though it is a possibility 

[brooklynwx99]

the GEFS sextupling down is truly something

[MJO812]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

if it becomes an outlier it will be considered less. though it is a possibility 

Its not good with coastals.