“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Greg]

52 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Lol

Truth though. more chance of mixing on islands and Cape 

I stated that potential earlier. Temps will be in the mid 30's there while the storm makes it closest pass.

[dendrite]

Just now, ROOSTA said:

I wonder if Walt or Paul still frequent the forum?

Walt posts in NYC

[MegaMike]

3 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

Not sure I buy numbers that high in Eastern SNE especially NE Mass. Only the 12z ICON comes close to supporting it so far. Main issue is storm has already peaked and has started to fill on guidance by time it has reached the BM. Plus wind will cut down ratios some. As of now somewhere in SE Mass has the best shot of 24" IMHO. 
 

If I had to take a wild guess, the SREFs are likely beefing up the mean.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Jan 05 probably?

Best Storm Evah’

[nianticct]

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, nianticct said:

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

 

1 minute ago, nianticct said:

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

 

1 minute ago, nianticct said:

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

 

1 minute ago, nianticct said:

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

 

Just now, nianticct said:

Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now!

I think we get it.

[nianticct]

Sorry for glitching 

[weatherwiz]

I would not be totally shocked if the QPF is even a bit underdone...at least wherever the CCB setsup and especially if this ends up being a scenario where that ends up pivoting. 

[Wonkis]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Jan 05 probably?

I Initially thought so, but digging through the AFDs of that event on Iowa State's archive I couldn't find the one I was looking for...

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

Not sure I buy numbers that high in Eastern SNE especially NE Mass. Only the 12z ICON comes close to supporting it so far. Main issue is storm has already peaked and has started to fill on guidance by time it has reached the BM. Plus wind will cut down ratios some. As of now somewhere in SE Mass has the best shot of 24" IMHO. 
 

I think 2’ risk extends into NE MA to central MA and CT with banding. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I think 2’ risk extends into NE MA to central MA and CT with banding. 

Yup...I can't wait to draw a 2' area on my map. Have to break out the special paint brush for that 

[dendrite]

ICON ens decently SE of the op for those who give a damn

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’ll be issuing a first call sometime today 

[Greg]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Dude... ha.  no shit but excluding the SW zones/NY megalopolis, that SNE snow layout is about as close to a twin to 1978 Feb as I've seen.  

This system is no analog but I just find that interesting.  

I was just about to say the same thing. The configuration of that "Mean" Snowfall area distribution looks like a '78 situation in Eastern Mass although I use that example loosely. Not a prediction of this storm on my part of coursé.

[ORH_wxman]

GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. 

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Walt posts in NYC

Not anymore 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. 

ya it's maybe 5 miles Se and a touch stronger .

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. 

Thats been the them. It heads SE earlier, tucks NW later.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya it's maybe 5 miles Se and a touch stronger .

Seems to be recovering by 48 to basically same position. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Nip and tuck she goes 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not anymore 

Did you chase him off like Phil?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Seems to be recovering by 48 to basically same position. 

Thoughts on ORH?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

968 20 miles inside BM

[Sey-Mour Snow]

@RUNNAWAYICEBERG will like this run 

[CoastalWx]

Jesus just a firehose 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

@RUNNAWAYICEBERG will like this run 

I think because of where that starts out and matures, there’s not gonna be the WOR screw zone with this.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

[FXWX]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

ICON ens decently SE of the op for those who give a damn

Count me out as giving a dam!

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I think because of where that starts out and matures, there’s not gonna be the WOR screw zone with this.

1000% agree been wanting a storm like this for a long time where the banding sets up earlier and doesn't screw us WOR folks

[dendrite]

Valley tears as AEMATT cleans up