Greg Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 52 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Lol Truth though. more chance of mixing on islands and Cape I stated that potential earlier. Temps will be in the mid 30's there while the storm makes it closest pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, ROOSTA said: I wonder if Walt or Paul still frequent the forum? Walt posts in NYC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, dan11295 said: Not sure I buy numbers that high in Eastern SNE especially NE Mass. Only the 12z ICON comes close to supporting it so far. Main issue is storm has already peaked and has started to fill on guidance by time it has reached the BM. Plus wind will cut down ratios some. As of now somewhere in SE Mass has the best shot of 24" IMHO. If I had to take a wild guess, the SREFs are likely beefing up the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jan 05 probably? Best Storm Evah’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, nianticct said: Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! 1 minute ago, nianticct said: Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! 1 minute ago, nianticct said: Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! 1 minute ago, nianticct said: Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! Just now, nianticct said: Walt checks in in the New York forum! He lives in NW Jersey now! I think we get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Sorry for glitching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I would not be totally shocked if the QPF is even a bit underdone...at least wherever the CCB setsup and especially if this ends up being a scenario where that ends up pivoting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jan 05 probably? I Initially thought so, but digging through the AFDs of that event on Iowa State's archive I couldn't find the one I was looking for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 10 minutes ago, dan11295 said: Not sure I buy numbers that high in Eastern SNE especially NE Mass. Only the 12z ICON comes close to supporting it so far. Main issue is storm has already peaked and has started to fill on guidance by time it has reached the BM. Plus wind will cut down ratios some. As of now somewhere in SE Mass has the best shot of 24" IMHO. I think 2’ risk extends into NE MA to central MA and CT with banding. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think 2’ risk extends into NE MA to central MA and CT with banding. Yup...I can't wait to draw a 2' area on my map. Have to break out the special paint brush for that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 ICON ens decently SE of the op for those who give a damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I’ll be issuing a first call sometime today 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Dude... ha. no shit but excluding the SW zones/NY megalopolis, that SNE snow layout is about as close to a twin to 1978 Feb as I've seen. This system is no analog but I just find that interesting. I was just about to say the same thing. The configuration of that "Mean" Snowfall area distribution looks like a '78 situation in Eastern Mass although I use that example loosely. Not a prediction of this storm on my part of coursé. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Walt posts in NYC Not anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. ya it's maybe 5 miles Se and a touch stronger . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS looks a little SE of 06z through 30, but it’s kind of on the Noise level. Thats been the them. It heads SE earlier, tucks NW later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: ya it's maybe 5 miles Se and a touch stronger . Seems to be recovering by 48 to basically same position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Nip and tuck she goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not anymore Did you chase him off like Phil? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Seems to be recovering by 48 to basically same position. Thoughts on ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 968 20 miles inside BM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 @RUNNAWAYICEBERG will like this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Jesus just a firehose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: @RUNNAWAYICEBERG will like this run I think because of where that starts out and matures, there’s not gonna be the WOR screw zone with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: ICON ens decently SE of the op for those who give a damn Count me out as giving a dam! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think because of where that starts out and matures, there’s not gonna be the WOR screw zone with this. 1000% agree been wanting a storm like this for a long time where the banding sets up earlier and doesn't screw us WOR folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Valley tears as AEMATT cleans up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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