“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Typhoon Tip]

45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’ll take this I guess:

One of the more fantastic en masse ens corrections for a system that impressively deep ( in terms of implication) I've seen at 72+ hours ... Here's the thing, usually that type of depth in an ens mean isn't really seen until it's almost on top of the event - it's an indication that there are few if any really, members that stray off into shitsville.  Stunning collocated agreement in amplitude - but then to move that to that particular location ...yikes.  

I don't wanna over state what the models are ... pretty much overstating for us.  But if the Euro comes in at this sort of range and marries to the GFS, confidence in this going from an impressive event to a blockbuster/historic implication goes up a notch. 

Which then would enter the next level problem. Grandiosity is not really one can forecast very well or count on - rarely so.  It almost has to materialize out of just an impressive looking storm that then goes out of control.  The last time a system modeled historic, and ended up that way, is definitely 1993 and perhaps waiting 30 years to see that again.   Interesting aspects going on now..

[Typhoon Tip]

That may be gravity wave attributable in CT on the NAM. 

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This just the blizzard...12z (right) 18z (left)

all the news stations I'm watching just keep talking about the cape and SE MA.. going to be some surprised folks further west

[Prismshine Productions]

all the news stations I'm watching just keep talking about the cape and SE MA.. going to be some surprised folks further west

Hopefully further interior too (you, Hippy, me, Astro...)

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[DavisStraight]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

all the news stations I'm watching just keep talking about the cape and SE MA.. going to be some surprised folks further west

Local met up here doesn't seem to enthused though he said to keep on eye on it. Need a little more NW to get more in the game.

[Typhoon Tip]

Candidate for a podcast/ or radio show

[Snowcrazed71]

Well, just like us knowing last night with some of the models showing the storm getting much closer, but most of the media outlets, meteorologist, etc were being very conservative and very careful. They're also being very careful with accumulation amounts for the storm here in Connecticut. 

I'm just waiting for the NWS in Boston to hoist winter storm watches for the rest of Connecticut and most of Massachusetts. Maybe they're thinking that things will change again and they don't want to put up the watches yet? Or maybe because we're too far from the event ( I would think by tomorrow morning they'll be hoisted )

[dryslot]

39 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

107 Members on this thread.

 

You don’t even need to read the page number acceleration Let Alone read the posts themselves.  You see 107?  We are TRACKING SOME ABOMINABLE SNOWMAN!  

I'm in here just waiting to see when your going to smash your accordion.

[WxWatcher007]

Hushed silence across the eastern United States coming soon as the Euro initializes and Skynet gets plugged in and initialized. 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'm in here just waiting to see when your going to smash your accordion.

Cory
weenie
Don’t get
crazy

 

[subdude]

57 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Hoping for a huge event, but my expectations are very low.  6-8" would be my O/U locally, anything over that is a win and below that is an L

I have the same feeling here. Lower end of 6-10" hope I'm wrong. 

[ineedsnow]

Euro looking much better

[dryslot]

18z Euro NW of 12z

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Cory
weenie
Don’t get
crazy

 

That reminded me of this song. A classic most don’t remember 

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, subdude said:

I have the same feeling here. Lower end of 6-10" hope I'm wrong. 

If we don't get a regression on the 00z runs, then I think it's all systems go for most of SNE....it's hard to go low on snow when you have that deep layer easterly inflow aloft of that magnitude. The only thing you rrally worry about at that point is dryslotting but we're not dryslotting with a ULL drilling for oil near ACK. 

[ineedsnow]

Euro caving to the GFS.. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z Euro NW of 12z

Damn you doing pbp. I think I need to start worrying 

[dendrite]

Let’s curl this vortmax into the police cruiser

[brooklynwx99]

tenor of the season, am i right

[ineedsnow]

[dryslot]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

Damn you doing pbp. I think I need to start worrying 

Doubtful on this one.

[vortex95]

15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

all the news stations I'm watching just keep talking about the cape and SE MA.. going to be some surprised folks further west

Cape Cod may actually have ptype issues for a time!  Look out if the mix line makes it way to Weymouth!

[MuddyWx]

AIFS should be a tick NW too

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

tenor of the season, am i right

Lol, starting to feel bad Wolfie isn’t down here for this…

[Baroclinic Zone]

Can we pull off a triple burger here?

[ineedsnow]

that was a huge shift  need just a bit more at 0z

[OrangeCTWX]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

How about the panel before that? 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, vortex95 said:

Cape Cod may actually have ptype issues for a time!  Look out if the mix line makes it way to Weymouth!

As it stands, maybe the islands? Barring any additional shifts NW

[TheSnowman]

CORY, HOW SERIOUS IS THIS STORM MONDAY!?  

 

Well….. how long did I talk to the Master for?