HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west. Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says Even my area is close to double digits. Was expecting 0”. Let’s see what happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west. Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says Yes, You'll see this system expand the field some as is start to mature and occlude a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea Trendy but I'm still very rug pull skeptical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 That run looks like Jan 2022 up here. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 CMC 21 MB deeper than 18z at 78 hours. Models are still struggling with this evolution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 0z Euro will be telling to see if 18z wasn't a head fake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west. Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says Good things happen when your negative, don't get positive on us now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Yeah cmc bales from a blizzard the last minute but the trend at least so far is a big hit for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, You'll see this system expand the field some as is start to mature and occlude a bit. I think ship is sailing soon on totally getting rid of the LBSW, but at least get it up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea hey still 960mb at 39N 69W and would hit eastern areas pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think ship is sailing soon on totally getting rid of the LBSW, but at least get it up here. Its heading that direction on the 0z runs, I just want to see it get as much lat as possible if its going to do the ENE slide. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 GEFS mean west of 18z through hr60, hugging the Carolina coastSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Its heading that direction on the 0z runs, I just want to see it get as much lat as possible if its going to do the ENE slide. Could end up a drift tease of clouds and light snow but better than tracking cold fronts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: GEFS mean west of 18z through hr60, hugging the Carolina coast Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk LBSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: CMC is mostly a miss but it’s a huge trend towards gfs from its 12z run that was way out to sea I thought it looked great at h500 at 72hrs, then made a huge convection jump at 78hrs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Anyone have an early Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Could end up a drift tease of clouds and light snow but better than tracking cold fronts. And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 GEFS west at 78 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, ineedsnow said: GEFS west at 78 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 ukmet whiff but looked better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense. Monday is still fantasy "getting closer" model cosplay but I'm intrigued. I think there is potential for some powdery snow. Also, it's less stressful to think about, knowing snow is coming tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Holy smokes the number of hitsSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, MuddyWx said: ukmet whiff but looked better than 12z It moved the low from the Cabo Verde to the Azores. Tic tic. Seriously, it has a few light rain showers for DC! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: And could, But, You, Luke and i need more longitude for this as well as lat at others expense. Someone's gonna be on the outside looking in, this one won't satisfy everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro But you have to look at where those verification scores are with that model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro if it becomes an outlier it will be considered less. though it is a possibility 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 the GEFS sextupling down is truly something 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: if it becomes an outlier it will be considered less. though it is a possibility Its not good with coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now