“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[Go Kart Mozart]

The 84h NAM sure looks....

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

41 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Theme of the decade?  

I think you got a 20”er in Dec 2020? But yea a very underwhelming stretch for 18+ events since Feb 13 for WOR in SNE…

[ineedsnow]

18z ICON looks like crap 

[MJO812]

Icon going to be like the Euro. Imagine if it beats all the models.

We shall see

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Icon going to be like the Euro. Imagine if it beats all the models.

We shall see

It will, unfortunately.

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It will, unfortunately.

Euro is the 2nd highest scoring model yet we hear "it's struggled this year" Blah blah blah...but still 5 days away but we weren't going to stay in the bullseye all that time.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon going to be like the Euro. Imagine if it beats all the models.

We shall see

Actually looks good by hr120

[Damage In Tolland]

Some good posters are turning into TFlizz making it not pleasant 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Actually looks good by hr120

Recovered 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Some good posters are turning into TFlizz making it not pleasant 

For real. Good vibes and big snow thoughts only!

[ineedsnow]

[weathafella]

OMG someone posting the ICON EPS!

[mob1]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Actually looks good by hr120

Starts off a bit sloppy, but extrapolated from here it honestly looks pretty good. For NE, you'd want the vort to close off and capture a hair later as otherwise it could occlude south of you (think Boxing Day). 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Ineed posting the ICON EPS!…again

 

[78Blizzard]

The ICON 500mb now looks like the Euro at 12z.  Quite the change from 12z.

[vortex95]

11 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Starts off a bit sloppy, but extrapolated from here it honestly looks pretty good. For NE, you'd want the vort to close off and capture a hair later as otherwise it could occlude south of you (think Boxing Day). 

With the 500 cut off where it is on the ICON at 120 hr and the sfc low about 100 mi E of ORF, that should be enough for a movement close enough to SNE for sig snow.  The strong vort SW of the cut off is somewhat of a wildcard.  It seems to be rotating around the cut off faster than the upper low itself, so does it continue and go negative as it crosses the coast and you get one large cut off low just S of LI?

The ridge over the Rockies is staying put and not de-amplifying, so that's good.  Downstream the flow is still rather flat, but there are modest 500 height rises S of NS and NFL 108 to 120 hr.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gfs robot shifted east. 

[SouthCoastMA]

11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs robot shifted east. 

Yeah but not much.

The GFS OP looks like crap so far, however. Or maybe just further SW, maybe spoke too soon 

[40/70 Benchmark]

57 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon going to be like the Euro. Imagine if it beats all the models.

We shall see

It's often correct when it's the lone voice of dissent and sucks.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Yeah but not much.

The GFS OP looks like crap so far, however 

Yea but the trend last 6+ runs is all se. 
 

[40/70 Benchmark]

It could go either way, but gun-to-head, the sub forum will be contemplating a gun-to-head come this weekend.

[CoastalWx]

Ray can blog for the weenies in the Delmarva on the gfs.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Ray can blog for the weenies in the Delmarva on the gfs.

I rather blog for a crack-whore's venereal disease.

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Ray can blog for the weenies in the Delmarva on the gfs.

Still gets up here with big impact..but didn't expect it to. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray can blog for the weenies in the Delmarva on the gfs.

Congrats sema.

[Damage In Tolland]

That’s a big boy!

[SouthCoastMA]

In the end it's actually further west than 12z. Starts bombing further south though 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

In the end it's actually further west than 12z. Starts bombing further south though 

This has been a trend and it sucks. While that often reverses eventually, you don't want to see it get buried any more at this point.

[butterfish55]

Still gets up here with big impact..but didn't expect it to. 

Looks awesome for us

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Still gets up here with big impact..but didn't expect it to. 

I wasn’t a fan of the evolution though. Looked like it would unravel south.