Prismshine Productions Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 would probably have a death band further north with thatShift it NW about 75-100 miles and whole board winsSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Looks like I'm out on the first one..hopefully latter events work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: What a storm. Let's bring that about 50 miles northwest. Well, at least at this point there's a little bit more of model support than there was with that last fantasy storm that showed something big for a few days and then just went out to see on all the models... thinking this one has a better shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Shift it NW about 75-100 miles and whole board wins Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk This is going to be hand to hand combat. You can already see the factions developing and the call to arms isn't too far behind lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Actually looking at this image we got closer to 100-125 miles of NW wiggle room that doesn't mix the south coastSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like I'm out on the first one..hopefully latter events work out. I assume you’re being facetious this far out. Especially since these never trend north especially on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well, at least at this point there's a little bit more of model support than there was with that last fantasy storm that showed something big for a few days and then just went out to see on all the models... thinking this one has a better shot This looks very different to me than the most recent misses. Let's see what Euro/Euro AI does in about 90 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This is going to be hand to hand combat. You can already see the factions developing and the call to arms isn't too far behind lol.Yeah...South of Pike v North of Pike v East of River v West of RiverSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 CMC might be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 We love you canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: CMC might be good It crushes SNE and continues the 12z trend away from offshore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That's a LBSW but probably still good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Cmc is ridiculous. Jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Consistency this far out is quite good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 weenie me now but I honestly think this is coming north and will stall off the south coast before it heads out... top 5 incoming just has that look! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This is one is gaining legs very quickly across all guidance. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 what the fuck does LBSW mean? wtf does social diversification recognition have to do with atmospheric dynamics - 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: And the GFS AI which has Not been sniffing this one, says I’m In at 12z. Huh? It’s been showing a biggie for many runs already… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Snow Sunday - Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: what the fuck does LBSW mean? wtf does social diversification recognition have to do with atmospheric dynamics - Load Blown South West - it is a Ray think I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 UKIE! close but seems to blows it load early.. all major models have some kind of storm at 12z!! we take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Huh? It’s been showing a biggie for many runs already… Yeah... something like 8-10 runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: weenie me now but I honestly think this is coming north and will stall off the south coast before it heads out... top 5 incoming just has that look! We have maps to post for the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, ineedsnow said: UKIE! close but seems to blows it load early.. all major models have some kind of storm at 12z!! we take! Waiting for the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah... something like 8-10 runs? Too many smashed accordions to remember accurately… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Load Blown South West - it is a Ray think I think Looked like it would be early on..but didn't occlude down there. NJ gets slammed along with SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Looked like it would be early on..but didn't occlude down there. NJ gets slammed along with SNE Looping h5 conus, the bigger concern would be a later or sloppier phase vs lbsw imo. EMA is in a great spot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The GFS solution is odd.. It's as though it is too intense. It's highly contracted in all quadrants, very annular and focused internally to the axis of the cyclone. If you saw any one of those D8 GFS September hurricanes running parallel to the EC, it would like like that at PGF layout. I guess on the east side it does open up some. But it's like it's overly responsive to forcing very early in the total wave space, and so it then preferences that early location and is thus also overly - if perhaps erroneously - nucleated there. That said, even if so ... that surface solution is within an envelope of acceptable error. It could reposition on the next run ... 50 or even 100 my NW of this run's fix, and still be in said envelope of acceptable error. If we get to within 30 or so hours and all this is still dosing drips like this...then we'll discuss whether it will be idiosyncratically positioning, relative to the deep layer structures, with more confidence as to where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Wow... Looking at the CMC and the GFS 12z runs really gives more confidence in what we might see Sunday, Monday time frame. I'm starting to feel this one. Let's see what the Euro does and just a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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