The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[NJwx85]

Nothing here yet after a brief burst of white rain.

[hooralph]

After 5 hours of snow (all snow!) on the UWS it's starting to stick to car windshields. If you didn't  have access to modern forecasting, today so far would be indistinguishable from a miserable March white rain event. Makes me think about the generations that preceded us (I mean native Americans and colonial settlers). Would they have known what's coming?

[SnoSki14]

19 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/22 18z RRFS still snowing by 11AM tomorrow

Backend band showing up. Could deliver a big finale

Also radar looks really good and juicy to our south. After 4-5PM is when things really ramp up 

[SACRUS]

2/22 18z NAM 3k

 

Snow

 

[TJW014]

29 minutes ago, oceanctyguy said:

What's your temp?

35 air temp

[TJW014]

About 0.5" on non paved surfaces. Updates may be sporadic. Currently well under the influence at the brewery lmao. $1 beers ftw

[WeatherFox]

Lets get that band to our south up to NYC area!

[Winterweatherlover]

7 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

2/22 18z NAM



Snow

Jersey Coast to Eastern LI jackpot is what this has been for days but everyone should do pretty well. 

[dseagull]

Down to 33.1 on barnegat bay.   All non-pavement surfaces and ground are covered, ans things are ramping up.  

[jdt]

Let's hope so! I'll let y'all know. I'm off tomorrow,  so let it dump.

I believe it is real. A realization of a band of precipitation to NW with some orographic enhancement. Will it be 15-18” or 18-24” is the question. Arguments could be made for either range but as it looks now I like the lower end of the higher range, i.e. 18-21”. Wider scale 18-24” is reserved for central / southern coastal NJ NYC into LI.


.

[Winterweatherlover]

18 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

One thing that has me worried is the warmth and almost march like quality to this storm so far.

It has been snowing since I woke up with grass still showing.

Not saying this is the case for this storm, but in my experience in NY area, great storms dont look or feel this way at start

If it was March and it was a daytime storm I’d actually consider this a real issue in the five boroughs but it’s still February and the heaviest stuff is overnight. 

[binbisso]

I have about a half an inch of snow on the previous snow cover and colder surfaces in the shade. Still snowing lightly but flake size have increased 31*

[binbisso]

If i'm not mistaken, the february 2006 snowstorm also started as rain

[WeatherGeek2025]

the storm is about to start pumping ocean moisture onshore, get ready everyone should start accumulating snow in inches within an hour! The atmosphere is getting juiced up right now and temps will crash way below freezing within two hours! Enjoy this will be amazing and we're still on our way to get 15-20 inches

[dseagull]

And just like that, roads caved barnegat bay 

[oceanctyguy]

4 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

35 air temp

Thanks. Watching from Florida via my security camera. Seeing stickage on grass and roofs in Lakewood.

 

[lee59]

Light snow, approaching the freezing mark, ground is covered.

[viking70]

Hey all-- I don't post much because I am just a weather enthusiast, but I wanted to write to say thanks to all the mets and other informed people on this board.  I have been part of the weather forums in the NYC area since the ABC local news weather forum which then led to NYCmetroweather.  

Through all this time I have appreciated learning from everyone.  I hope people can enjoy this storm and stay safe and that there is not much damage.  

I will post when I can my obs.  Thanks all and  enjoy Blizzard 2026!

[RKO36]

Starting to stick in Middlesex County, NJ.

 

The NAM has been very persistent with that output run after run.

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

About 0.5" on non paved surfaces. Updates may be sporadic. Currently well under the influence at the brewery lmao. $1 beers ftw

You and me both. Currently in the French Quarter lol.

[Snowlover11]

13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Nothing here yet after a brief burst of white rain.

Confirmed hasn’t done a thing in over an hour and a half. Occasional flurry.

[sussexcountyobs]

2 minutes ago, jdt said:

I believe it is real. A realization of a band of precipitation to NW with some orographic enhancement. Will it be 15-18” or 18-24” is the question. Arguments could be made for either range but as it looks now I like the lower end of the higher range, i.e. 18-21”. Wider scale 18-24” is reserved for central / southern coastal NJ NYC into LI.


.

We shall see. Somehow? When it comes to snowfall, Canistear Rd. corridor from Cliffwood Lake to Barry Lakes seldom disappoints. 

[RU848789]

SIAP, but Tomer Burg just published his final call and he's very bullish on this storm with similar forecast amounts as the NWS as per the Twitter thread below.
https://x.com/burgwx/status/2025657853998969116

[NorthShoreWx]

14 minutes ago, hooralph said:

After 5 hours of snow (all snow!) on the UWS it's starting to stick to car windshields. If you didn't  have access to modern forecasting, today so far would be indistinguishable from a miserable March white rain event. Makes me think about the generations that preceded us (I mean native Americans and colonial settlers). Would they have known what's coming?

No but they would be prepared for anything and would have stocked up on ice-melt weeks ago.

[SACRUS]

2/22 19z HRRR

 

This is 18h or through 13z / 8:00 AM Monday - more to come beyond here

 

[WeatherFox]

[SnoSki14]

Everything getting covered quickly now. 

[Mo Snow]

2 minutes ago, RKO36 said:

Starting to stick in Middlesex County, NJ.

 

The NAM has been very persistent with that output run after run.

Hey neighbor!

Carteret is the most NE town in middlesex county though, so usually go with Upton forecasts. I live literally 2 miles from Staten Island haha

[Nibor]

1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

SIAP, but Tomer Burg just published his final call and he's very bullish on this storm with similar forecast amounts as the NWS as per the Twitter thread below.
https://x.com/burgwx/status/2025657853998969116

Highly recommend following him on Twitter. Great reads and explanations without any ego or fluff.

[RU848789]

48 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with
the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with
banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar
to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF
guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to
the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM
appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to
10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by
late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around
the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50
inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along
the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow
for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While
this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30
inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the
coast.

Wow, this is exactly what I've been saying.