NJwx85 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Nothing here yet after a brief burst of white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 After 5 hours of snow (all snow!) on the UWS it's starting to stick to car windshields. If you didn't have access to modern forecasting, today so far would be indistinguishable from a miserable March white rain event. Makes me think about the generations that preceded us (I mean native Americans and colonial settlers). Would they have known what's coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 19 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/22 18z RRFS still snowing by 11AM tomorrow Backend band showing up. Could deliver a big finale Also radar looks really good and juicy to our south. After 4-5PM is when things really ramp up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2/22 18z NAM 3k Snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 29 minutes ago, oceanctyguy said: What's your temp? 35 air temp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 About 0.5" on non paved surfaces. Updates may be sporadic. Currently well under the influence at the brewery lmao. $1 beers ftw 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Lets get that band to our south up to NYC area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 7 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/22 18z NAM Snow Jersey Coast to Eastern LI jackpot is what this has been for days but everyone should do pretty well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Down to 33.1 on barnegat bay. All non-pavement surfaces and ground are covered, ans things are ramping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Let's hope so! I'll let y'all know. I'm off tomorrow, so let it dump.I believe it is real. A realization of a band of precipitation to NW with some orographic enhancement. Will it be 15-18” or 18-24” is the question. Arguments could be made for either range but as it looks now I like the lower end of the higher range, i.e. 18-21”. Wider scale 18-24” is reserved for central / southern coastal NJ NYC into LI.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 18 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: One thing that has me worried is the warmth and almost march like quality to this storm so far. It has been snowing since I woke up with grass still showing. Not saying this is the case for this storm, but in my experience in NY area, great storms dont look or feel this way at start If it was March and it was a daytime storm I’d actually consider this a real issue in the five boroughs but it’s still February and the heaviest stuff is overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I have about a half an inch of snow on the previous snow cover and colder surfaces in the shade. Still snowing lightly but flake size have increased 31* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 If i'm not mistaken, the february 2006 snowstorm also started as rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 the storm is about to start pumping ocean moisture onshore, get ready everyone should start accumulating snow in inches within an hour! The atmosphere is getting juiced up right now and temps will crash way below freezing within two hours! Enjoy this will be amazing and we're still on our way to get 15-20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 And just like that, roads caved barnegat bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oceanctyguy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 4 minutes ago, TJW014 said: 35 air temp Thanks. Watching from Florida via my security camera. Seeing stickage on grass and roofs in Lakewood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Light snow, approaching the freezing mark, ground is covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Hey all-- I don't post much because I am just a weather enthusiast, but I wanted to write to say thanks to all the mets and other informed people on this board. I have been part of the weather forums in the NYC area since the ABC local news weather forum which then led to NYCmetroweather. Through all this time I have appreciated learning from everyone. I hope people can enjoy this storm and stay safe and that there is not much damage. I will post when I can my obs. Thanks all and enjoy Blizzard 2026! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RKO36 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Starting to stick in Middlesex County, NJ. The NAM has been very persistent with that output run after run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 6 minutes ago, TJW014 said: About 0.5" on non paved surfaces. Updates may be sporadic. Currently well under the influence at the brewery lmao. $1 beers ftw You and me both. Currently in the French Quarter lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Nothing here yet after a brief burst of white rain. Confirmed hasn’t done a thing in over an hour and a half. Occasional flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, jdt said: I believe it is real. A realization of a band of precipitation to NW with some orographic enhancement. Will it be 15-18” or 18-24” is the question. Arguments could be made for either range but as it looks now I like the lower end of the higher range, i.e. 18-21”. Wider scale 18-24” is reserved for central / southern coastal NJ NYC into LI. . We shall see. Somehow? When it comes to snowfall, Canistear Rd. corridor from Cliffwood Lake to Barry Lakes seldom disappoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 SIAP, but Tomer Burg just published his final call and he's very bullish on this storm with similar forecast amounts as the NWS as per the Twitter thread below.https://x.com/burgwx/status/2025657853998969116 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 14 minutes ago, hooralph said: After 5 hours of snow (all snow!) on the UWS it's starting to stick to car windshields. If you didn't have access to modern forecasting, today so far would be indistinguishable from a miserable March white rain event. Makes me think about the generations that preceded us (I mean native Americans and colonial settlers). Would they have known what's coming? No but they would be prepared for anything and would have stocked up on ice-melt weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2/22 19z HRRR This is 18h or through 13z / 8:00 AM Monday - more to come beyond here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Everything getting covered quickly now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mo Snow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, RKO36 said: Starting to stick in Middlesex County, NJ. The NAM has been very persistent with that output run after run. Hey neighbor! Carteret is the most NE town in middlesex county though, so usually go with Upton forecasts. I live literally 2 miles from Staten Island haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: SIAP, but Tomer Burg just published his final call and he's very bullish on this storm with similar forecast amounts as the NWS as per the Twitter thread below.https://x.com/burgwx/status/2025657853998969116 Highly recommend following him on Twitter. Great reads and explanations without any ego or fluff. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 48 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast. Wow, this is exactly what I've been saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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