The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[Blizzardo]

Just now, TriPol said:

GFS is late.

it probably blew up! 

[WeatherGeek2025]

5 minutes ago, Santa Claus said:

remember to get on facebook and post the NAM or you are not a true weenie

did that already. Also i'm truly surprised tropicaltidbits even has icon as a model choice. it's literally the worst model, the only thing that it's useful for is 2m surface temps it's somewhat accurate

[Prue11]

17 minutes ago, liwxfan said:

Where in suffolk are you? I'm up in sound beach. Was in mount sinai in 2013.. got about 32 inches.  Constant lightning coming off the harbor in that death band.  

Miller place. Was an epic storm hoping this one can beat it, but I think we’re more in the 20-24” range but we’ve seen it time and time again bands like to setup over our area 

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, Blizzardo said:

it probably blew up! 

tony stole it

[WXNewton]

20 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Have to see if other mesos start picking up on the stalling idea… would be epic 

The RAP model pretty much shows the stall start to happen right when the pressure begins to significantly bomb out. Here's a 9 hr loop of virtually very little to no movement from about 8 pm tomorrow night until 5 am Monday morning. 

[Mail Man]

GFS is finally running

[jm1220]

34 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Can’t believe I’m missing this one. Shame 

I have a confession to make-I’m missing it too. I’m in New Orleans at a friend’s birthday. I looked into coming back today and it just wasn’t feasible and tomorrow forget it. It sucks lol. I’m supposed to come back Tuesday but who knows about the situation with the airports by then. 

[jm1220]

2 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

The RAP model pretty much shows the stall start to happen right when the pressure begins to significantly bomb out. Here's a 9 hr loop of virtually very little to no movement from about 8 pm tomorrow night until 5 am Monday morning. 

There’s a capture that sorta happens as the storm stacks/starts to occlude. 

[winterwx21]

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I have a confession to make-I’m missing it too. I’m in New Orleans at a friend’s birthday. I looked into coming back today and it just wasn’t feasible and tomorrow forget it. It sucks lol. I’m supposed to come back Tuesday but who knows about the situation with the airports by then. 

Wow. With the way you've been commenting on the storm, I never imagined that you were not here. Very sorry that you're going to miss it! Hopefully you're having a great time in New Orleans though. 

[jm1220]

Just now, winterwx21 said:

Wow. With the way you've been commenting on the storm, I never imagined that you were not here. Very sorry that you're going to miss it! Hopefully you're having a great time in New Orleans though. 

I…. yeah. It sucks. But I’m thrilled for everyone and there will be plenty left when I get home. 

[Mr. T.]

Okay than GFS!

[TriPol]

Wow.

[andyhb]

Well, this GFS run certainly ain't going to be one to back down. Incredible stuff into NYC.

[coastalplainsnowman]

10 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

it probably blew up! 

"overflow error"

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, andyhb said:

Well, this GFS run certainly ain't going to be one to back down. Incredible stuff into NYC.

Especially coastal NJ. Insane.

[ILoveWinter]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

I have a confession to make-I’m missing it too. I’m in New Orleans at a friend’s birthday. I looked into coming back today and it just wasn’t feasible and tomorrow forget it. It sucks lol. I’m supposed to come back Tuesday but who knows about the situation with the airports by then. 

Ah that's frustrating! Happened to me several years ago on a family vacation to Cancun. While sitting by the pool, I was scrolling through this forum and was secretly annoyed that I was missing out on snow (I think CPK received around 10 inches).

As for this one, I was originally supposed to fly out on a business trip this weekend but a few months ago I pushed it to next weekend, pheww!

[MJO812]

Gfs has a nice band near coastal NJ not too far south from NYC. Sometimes bands end up elsewhere than modeled.

[DreamBig]

GFS actually looks to have walked qpf back (just slightly) in NYC area, and tighter gradient

[SACRUS]

2/22 00z GFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-2/24

 

10:1 Snow

[TriPol]

I really think it's time to stop using globals. They're not going to pinpoint everything down to the mile. GFS is great, but it's time to switch to the mesos.

[jm1220]

Just now, ILoveWinter said:

Ah that's frustrating! Happened to me several years ago on a family vacation to Cancun. While sitting by the pool, I was scrolling through this forum and was secretly annoyed that I was missing out on snow (I think CPK received around 10 inches).

As for this one, I was originally supposed to fly out on a business trip this weekend but a few months ago I pushed it to next weekend, pheww!

I missed Jan 2016 when I was living in Austin. Not the first time.  

[jysamuel]

Jackpot Pauly D's house

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, TriPol said:

I really think it's time to stop using globals. They're not going to pinpoint everything down to the mile. GFS is great, but it's time to switch to the mesos.

Yes. The storm is developing as we speak. 

[TriPol]

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, DreamBig said:

GFS actually looks to have walked qpf back (just slightly) in NYC area, and tighter gradient

Mesos time

[SACRUS]

 

2/22 00z GFS AI AIGFS

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-2/24

 

 

10:1 Snow

 

[mtksurfer]

I’m mostly a lurker, but fired up for this storm. I’m located on the North Shore of LI. Will try to send some videos and updates of the action. 

[WeatherFox]

Hmm, just heard AccuWeather on 1010 WINS calling for 12 inches

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yes. The storm is developing as we speak. 

Hour or so ago we had the cold front come through New Orleans, now noticeably chillier and windy as hell. It was 82 today. 

[IrishRob17]

8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I missed Jan 2016 when I was living in Austin. Not the first time.  

I missed January 2016...I was here at home.