The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[EastonSN+]

The RDPS and ICON do not get the low to the same latitude of the NAM/HRRR/RAP before moving east which is one of the main differences.

[cleetussnow]

6 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

and the only other triple phasers I remember are 1993 and 1996!

Exactly.  Skys the limit.  The LP coming out of the lakes is perfectly timed - not too strong, not too weak.  Goldilocks capture.  I mean, how about a benchmark version of 93.  
 

this is like Frazer Ali excitement level.  I’m jacked, I’m hard hot and horny.  No sleep for me.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

42 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

For NYC? If so it’s 27.2 I think 

It's 27.5 inches for Central Park from the 2016 storm. JFK recorded 30.5 inches from that storm so technically the city has seen 30 inches before.

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9

 

Updated with the ICOn

[Monty]

47 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

Frame it.

You know what? Given that the NAM is being retired, if this comes to fruition, I think I will. 

[SACRUS]

2/21 12z RGEM

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

 

Snow 10:1

[cleetussnow]

14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

I was a little worried after the Euro didn’t bite last night but seeing the rest of the guidance so far I’m confident someone will exceed 30” though it might be hard to verify with the drifts. I would say probably just NW of 95 because the strong winds near the coast will hurt ratios some.

Totally thinking the same.  We are going to see twitter pictures of rulers sunk to the top and really who cares about an official total if you can do that.  

[EastonSN+]

RDPS comparison 

6z

 

12z

[nycsnow]

[winterwarlock]

8-14 inches on Reggie

[Northof78]

There are forecasts for as little as 6 - 12" for W NJ, S NY State, chances are most of these areas are getting 15" - 25", NAM/GFS/Short Rnage/NBM have near 20" to Harrisburg and Albany...they got to up quick

[EastonSN+]

Icon 

6z

 

12z

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Northof78 said:

There are forecasts for as little as 6 - 12" for W NJ, S NY State, chances are most of these areas are getting 15" - 25", NAM had near 20" to Harrisburg and Albany...they got to up quick

Too many models not going with the huge amounts

[WeatherGeek2025]

Basically a hurricane

[cleetussnow]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Too many models not going with the huge amounts

Dynamics tell the story.  Ride it.

[winterwarlock]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Too many models not going with the huge amounts

This

People need to acknowledge there are several models vs NAM/GFS where the 8-16 forecast makes good sense

The higher amounts could verify..or not. There will still be time to bump them tomorrow if warranted

[cleetussnow]

Hey whats the analog here?  96 seems to be it at least with this NAM run.  

[Heisy]

Someone in your region will get 24-36” depending where the h7 band ends up. Really jealous. Should get like 6-10” here in Philly, but your region is primed imo.

[deathstar9]

18 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

yea but if they miss they dont count! lol

I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser.  Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950.  All of those got down to 955-960.  Dont think 1996 even got below 980.

[TriPol]

28 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Forget monday travel east coast 

And Tuesday

[ForestHillWx]

Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley.

For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

2 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Hey whats the analog here?  96 seems to be it at least with this NAM run.  

In 96 snow started in the city with temperatures in the mid teens. Very different in that respect. 

[cleetussnow]

1 minute ago, deathstar9 said:

I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser.  Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950.  All of those got down to 955-960.  Dont think 1996 even got below 980.

No 96 was not a super LP like that.  I am kinda stumped to analog this.  We might logging the analog so to speak.

[vegan_edible]

hi amwx'ers. i will (most likely) be relocating back to san diego in the beginning of next year. will be doing a back and forth between sd and albany (2 months sd, one month albs). i am beyond ecstatic to not live in the nyc metro (sorry) but what a send off for winter we're about to have. lets all cash in here 

[cleetussnow]

3 minutes ago, deathstar9 said:

I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser.  Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950.  All of those got down to 955-960.  Dont think 1996 even got below 980.

Appreciate that.  Rare beasts.  2001 was sort of, but not in the classical sense.  Very rare and lets see the verification.  Players on the field.

[SACRUS]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1

 

Updated with ICON and RGEM 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

 

Updated with ICON and RGEM 

10-20 localized 2 feet 

[ILoveWinter]

Crazy to still have fairly large differences in QPF/snow forecasts 24 hours till game time! 

[BoulderWX]

6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley.

For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it. 

What are you thinking for us neighbor? All in or still cautious? 

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Updated with ICON and RGEM 

All look great however that is a large difference