EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The RDPS and ICON do not get the low to the same latitude of the NAM/HRRR/RAP before moving east which is one of the main differences. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: and the only other triple phasers I remember are 1993 and 1996! Exactly. Skys the limit. The LP coming out of the lakes is perfectly timed - not too strong, not too weak. Goldilocks capture. I mean, how about a benchmark version of 93. this is like Frazer Ali excitement level. I’m jacked, I’m hard hot and horny. No sleep for me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 42 minutes ago, allgame830 said: For NYC? If so it’s 27.2 I think It's 27.5 inches for Central Park from the 2016 storm. JFK recorded 30.5 inches from that storm so technically the city has seen 30 inches before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 12z Summary Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 1/8 / 17.1 NAM: 2.5 / 24.1 NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.4 / 13.9 Updated with the ICOn 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 47 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Frame it. You know what? Given that the NAM is being retired, if this comes to fruition, I think I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2/21 12z RGEM Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Snow 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 14 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I was a little worried after the Euro didn’t bite last night but seeing the rest of the guidance so far I’m confident someone will exceed 30” though it might be hard to verify with the drifts. I would say probably just NW of 95 because the strong winds near the coast will hurt ratios some. Totally thinking the same. We are going to see twitter pictures of rulers sunk to the top and really who cares about an official total if you can do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 RDPS comparison 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8-14 inches on Reggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 There are forecasts for as little as 6 - 12" for W NJ, S NY State, chances are most of these areas are getting 15" - 25", NAM/GFS/Short Rnage/NBM have near 20" to Harrisburg and Albany...they got to up quick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Icon 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Northof78 said: There are forecasts for as little as 6 - 12" for W NJ, S NY State, chances are most of these areas are getting 15" - 25", NAM had near 20" to Harrisburg and Albany...they got to up quick Too many models not going with the huge amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Basically a hurricane 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Too many models not going with the huge amounts Dynamics tell the story. Ride it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Too many models not going with the huge amounts This People need to acknowledge there are several models vs NAM/GFS where the 8-16 forecast makes good sense The higher amounts could verify..or not. There will still be time to bump them tomorrow if warranted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Hey whats the analog here? 96 seems to be it at least with this NAM run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Someone in your region will get 24-36” depending where the h7 band ends up. Really jealous. Should get like 6-10” here in Philly, but your region is primed imo. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: yea but if they miss they dont count! lol I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser. Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950. All of those got down to 955-960. Dont think 1996 even got below 980. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 28 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Forget monday travel east coast And Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley. For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Hey whats the analog here? 96 seems to be it at least with this NAM run. In 96 snow started in the city with temperatures in the mid teens. Very different in that respect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, deathstar9 said: I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser. Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950. All of those got down to 955-960. Dont think 1996 even got below 980. No 96 was not a super LP like that. I am kinda stumped to analog this. We might logging the analog so to speak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 hi amwx'ers. i will (most likely) be relocating back to san diego in the beginning of next year. will be doing a back and forth between sd and albany (2 months sd, one month albs). i am beyond ecstatic to not live in the nyc metro (sorry) but what a send off for winter we're about to have. lets all cash in here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, deathstar9 said: I’ve never heard of 1996 mentioned as a triple phaser. Classic ones I have remember were 1993, Ohio Valley super bomb of 1978 and great Appalachian blizzard of 1950. All of those got down to 955-960. Dont think 1996 even got below 980. Appreciate that. Rare beasts. 2001 was sort of, but not in the classical sense. Very rare and lets see the verification. Players on the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: 2/21 12z Summary Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC / Snow 10:1 NYC SREF: 1/8 / 17.1 NAM: 2.5 / 24.1 NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.4 / 13.9 RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1 Updated with ICON and RGEM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: Updated with ICON and RGEM 10-20 localized 2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Crazy to still have fairly large differences in QPF/snow forecasts 24 hours till game time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley. For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it. What are you thinking for us neighbor? All in or still cautious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Updated with ICON and RGEM All look great however that is a large difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now