Brian5671 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Icon going to be like the Euro. Imagine if it beats all the models. We shall see IF it's like the euro it's a miss then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: IF it's like the euro it's a miss then. Its not 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That thing was just about to go nuts I think.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 15 minutes ago, EasternLI said: That thing was just about to go nuts I think.. Thats what I took from it. I think that may have gotten pretty wrapped up on future hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Looked good overall - tad s/e weaker 12z 126 vs 18z 120 but seemed like a slower phase and would be a a nice hit FWIW at 120 on the ICOn anywas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS running now,,,,,,,,,tick tock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I must say, really liking the trend for the more amplified ridge out west leading into this, across multiple models. And that still seems to be continuing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS too tight to the coast at 126,,,am I wrong ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: GFS too tight to the coast at 126,,,am I wrong ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Slow mover 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2/17 18z GFS total QPF >1.1 into NYC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 8 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: GFS too tight to the coast at 126,,,am I wrong ? of course the configuration of the precip field is going to change on all models - still ends up being a MECS for most of the metro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Gfs crushes CNJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 9 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: GFS too tight to the coast at 126,,,am I wrong ? it's east of 12z but who cares at this lead time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs crushes CNJ take precip totals with a grain of salt this far out - locations of heavier precip will change run to run and model to model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 It's ok if the op models aren't giving us a bullseye yet. However we need to see continued improvement on the ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Forget the tight precipitation field for a second - verbatim, this would be awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS ai is still a big hit! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Keep getting these kinds of looks at 500mb. We can work out the rest later. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 it's east of 12z but who cares at this lead timeStronger and slightly more snow into nyc this run . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 18Z GFS wasn't east of 12Z, it was a bit weaker. Could be more noise than signal at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Remember, the last storm showed suppressed to the south until Weds-Thurs and then it moved so far north we got sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Keep getting these kinds of looks at 500mb. We can work out the rest later. Not worth quibbling about at this point by any means but if I could change things I'd like the ridge out west sharper and a little further west and the 500 closed low off the east coast to be w.s.w. by about 30 miles to ensure more inland locations (me) cash in fully. Otherwise I'll take it for now. For my area west and NW I like a surface low track west of the BM....more toward KBID/KMVY. Long ways to go for a final solution. Carry on. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GEFS a bit west / wetter 18z vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Noticeable improvement which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 14 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Stronger and slightly more snow into nyc this run . 14 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: 18Z GFS wasn't east of 12Z, it was a bit weaker. Could be more noise than signal at this point. okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 i'm seeing warm temps in my forecasts.....but i've seen that change on a dime too over the years.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 18z GFS AI AIGFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 18z GFS AI AIFGS Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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