2026-2027 Super El Nino

[bluewave]

14 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It might not be as east-based as either of those two ENSO events, but there's still a lot of time before the anomalies peak. It looks solidly east-based, perhaps evolving into a basinwide event as it weakens. 

Yeah, we could have active forcing from the WPAC and CPAC over to the EPAC with how extensive the warm pool is forecast to become.

Notice how the pattern from the Great Lakes to the Northeast wasn’t all that different between 1997-1998 and 2023-2024.

Forcing either focused near the EPAC in 1997-1998 or more split like 2023-2024 between the WPAC and CPAC along with the EPAC yielded roughly similar results for the Great Lakes and Northeast. 
 

 

 

 

 

 

[forkyfork]

muh backyard snow

[snowman19]

All time record-breaking anomalies of almost +8C showing up off the coast of Peru
 

 

^ “And again!!! Another day, another record for the current #ElNiñoCostero: the sea temperature anomaly measured in #Paita, #Piura yesterday was +7.9°C. Data
@DHN_peru
All of this, while all sea temperature indicators have skyrocketed in the last week. Not to mention the last month.”

And a very pronounced (new) DWKW has formed in the WPAC from the current WWB wind stress: