2026-2027 Super El Nino

[Stormchaserchuck1]

^You were right about the lagged warming after the SOI. 

[chubbs]

11 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Wow! The latest update for OISST (June 4th) has a massive warming for one day: 0.189C! That’s the strongest one day warming since way back on March 6th! The last 4 days have warmed a hair over 0.4C or a whopping 0.1C/day! That’s the fastest 4 day warming on this entire chart, even exceeding the ~0.36C of April 11th-15th. See far right side of the image below. The strong -SOI is doing its magic on its typically couple of week delayed basis vs when the strong negative strong started.

 This means the 6/5/26 RONI equivalent daily is already up to the +0.8 to +0.9 range!

 Implications for Monday’s weekly 3.4 update: at the very least an increase of 0.2C to 0.7C relative 3.4. There’s a good shot at an increase of 0.3 to 0.8 relative 3.4 if this continues to rise on the next 2 days’ updates:

Check out today’s and last 4 days’ warming!

The recent spike has sent daily Nino 3.4 temps well into record territory.

[bluewave]

Record breaking WWB for this time of year driving those record Nino 3.4 SSTs.