February Banter 2026

[dailylurker]

9 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I have a feeling the gfs will hold onto the big storm until tomorrow 12z or even later, then do the most spectacular cave we have ever seen. By that time, the damage will have been done. 

I hope it goes ape shit and gives up 50! INCHES! Leesburg jack. 

[H2O]

What a great gold medal game. Late goal to tie and totally bad ass move to score the win

[Eskimo Joe]

2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I see. Goodness gracious...that is sad and kind of infuriating. But...it's where we are and unfortunately we see the consequences playing out in real time.

What's going on is far worse than is being reported in the traditional media. Every day it's a struggle to just sustain and maintain the current status.

[LP08]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

So will the gfs cave all in one run or does it slowly walk back our BECS?

Moved to banter, but my guess is we will get a mild cave while everything trends a little better before it pulls the rug.

[Kay]

I had to delete, unnecessarily HUGE image lol

[pazzo83]

24 minutes ago, H2O said:

What a great gold medal game. Late goal to tie and totally bad ass move to score the win

they did the same thing to us in 2014

[snowfan]

75 people doing pbp at once.

[RickinBaltimore]

That gold medal winning goal was FILTHY. 

[wasnow215]

Here's a fun game for people who are bored on here. Go on the main storm thread and count all the different ways people are saying the GFS is wrong. Do people not read other comments or do they just post their own thing like it's original? It's almost like when people say what the definition of insanity is like it's the first time it's ever been said. Lol!

[nw baltimore wx]

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Here's a fun game for people who are bored on here. Go on the main storm thread and count all the different ways people are saying the GFS is wrong. Do people not read other comments or do they just post their own thing like it's original? It's almost like when people say what the definition of insanity is like it's the first time it's ever been said. Lol!

They're just trying to convince themselves so that the fall doesn't hurt so much.  

[Kay]

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Here's a fun game for people who are bored on here. Go on the main storm thread and count all the different ways people are saying the GFS is wrong. Do people not read other comments or do they just post their own thing like it's original? It's almost like when people say what the definition of insanity is like it's the first time it's ever been said. Lol!

The terrible thing is it gets to the point where ya have to add "but it's wrong, so wrong" to everything to keep someone from quoting you and going "but you know it's wrong???" lmao. 

100% true about that dumb insanity def.

[H2O]

The real fun game is to drink for every post that says a model is wrong or the GFS sucks or the euro is gonna cave

Your BAC will be over the legal limit in 15 min

[wasnow215]

17 minutes ago, H2O said:

The real fun game is to drink for every post that says a model is wrong or the GFS sucks or the euro is gonna cave

Your BAC will be over the legal limit in 15 min

I mean it is my birthday! Lol

[nw baltimore wx]

Just now, wasnow215 said:

I mean it is my birthday! Lol

Happy Birthday!  Thanks for the excuse.  

[wasnow215]

Just now, nw baltimore wx said:

Happy Birthday!  Thanks for the excuse.  

Thanks! Glad I could oblige!

[mappy]

I told a mom group chat that a random Facebook weather page was wrong when it posted the gfs, and we were not getting more than a few inches of snow. I will never hear the end of it if a more gfs type solution happens and we up here get 6 

[mappy]

Ps. Also sad that I had to put “of snow” to avoid a RR bat signal from going out

[Massanothing]

Would someone be so kind as to provide a newbie with the East Coast equivalent of the various Z times used for the models?

[mappy]

5 minutes ago, Massanothing said:

Would someone be so kind as to provide a newbie with the East Coast equivalent of the various Z times used for the models?

https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/time

[mappy]

Just now, 87storms said:

It was awesome. I stayed up to watch it…it came in like a wall right off the Atlantic. The models were on vacation.

I was up too. Was 3 doors down at a friends for the night. Mom calls to say come home to watch my sleeping sisters, dad was out of town.. she needed to run to the gas station. She got milk and all that after seeing the news. I went back to friends, where I stayed for 3 days haha 

[Massanothing]

28 minutes ago, mappy said:

https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/time

Much appreciated!!! 

[psuhoffman]

19 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

The capital of PSUsiana might not be Norluns, but that’s where most of the fun happens. 
 

 

My Daughters name is Nora Lynn 

[Jebman]

Why is Palisades Tahoe CLOSED?

Check this out. They got EIGHT FEET https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2024621478965367028

[psuhoffman]

3 hours ago, Ji said:

not sure what you want...33 degrees is still way below normal for this time of year. We have had plenty of cold this winter. You know that. The issue is we cant combine the precip and the cold so maybe thats the climate change normal. Cold and precip cant exist together in the Mid Atlantic

There is some truth to this (can't combine qpf and cold).  Think about it...the EPO is the biggest tele for cold, but has absolutely not statistically significant correlation to significant snowstorms.  Why?  Because very cold patters are often dry!  Think about how rare snowstorms are with temps below 20 degrees!  I can remember all of them...because there aren't that many!  Most of our snow comes near or just below freezing because historically our best snowfall patterns were split flow regimes where the northern stream was out the damn way but that also means no arctic air!  A ton of our snow had to work with marginal home grown typical winter air not arctic air.  If we are only cold enough to snow in true arctic airmasses we lose all those storms.  We haven't lost them all yet...but we are losing quite a few which is why DC's average snowfall has gone from 25" to 14" in the last 100 years!  

[Maestrobjwa]

44 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

There is some truth to this (can't combine qpf and cold).  Think about it...the EPO is the biggest tele for cold, but has absolutely not statistically significant correlation to significant snowstorms.  Why?  Because very cold patters are often dry!  Think about how rare snowstorms are with temps below 20 degrees!  I can remember all of them...because there aren't that many!  Most of our snow comes near or just below freezing because historically our best snowfall patterns were split flow regimes where the northern stream was out the damn way but that also means no arctic air!  A ton of our snow had to work with marginal home grown typical winter air not arctic air.  If we are only cold enough to snow in true arctic airmasses we lose all those storms.  We haven't lost them all yet...but we are losing quite a few which is why DC's average snowfall has gone from 25" to 14" in the last 100 years!  

Dang they're down to 14 now?

[pazzo83]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Dang they're down to 14 now?

13.7 actually.

[Maestrobjwa]

7 minutes ago, IronTy said:

I've got a piano recital on Tuesday, I'm gonna do Chopin Op. 28 No 4.  Hoping to be snowed in instead.  

Ahhhh the E Minor Prelude  I forgot you said you played! (How long?) Awesome piece. Fun fact: That piece inspired some of the first bossa nova artists! You can hear it in the chord progression!

Side note: I'd LOVE for something to free me from jury duty on Tuesday, lol

[nw baltimore wx]

@IronTy and @Maestrobjwa, do you both play piano? Anything the public can attend? 

[Maestrobjwa]

8 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

@IronTy and @Maestrobjwa, do you both play piano? Anything the public can attend? 

Yes--I am a professional musician! And funny you mention it...I am going to be accompanying a singer for a black history program she's headlining next Friday evening at the church next to the Senator theater--and I'll be performing a couple solo pieces as well! One by Baltimore's own ragtime/jazz legend Eubie Blake 

[IronTy]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Ahhhh the E Minor Prelude  I forgot you said you played! (How long?) Awesome piece. Fun fact: That piece inspired some of the first bossa nova artists! You can hear it in the chord progression!

Side note: I'd LOVE for something to free me from jury duty on Tuesday, lol

Two years ago I didn't even know how to read music and now I'd say I'm an advanced-beginner or just barely intermediate.  It's a deceptively challenging piece for sure.  I do have one advantage in that I went through a period of about five years of severe depression so I've definitely lived the piece!  And I do seem to have an abnormal ability to memorize a piece which of course helps.