Is we back? February discussion thread

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I think that is, by far, the largest area of 30+ red shading ive seen on any NESIS map, including Feb 13 which has like almost nothing above 30". Is that not overly conservative for once?

Feb 13 gave a lot of this area down through Hamden and New Haven and long island  well over 30”  

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Feb 13 gave a lot of this area down through Hamden and New Haven and long island  well over 30”  

@The 4 Seasons has analyzed every snowfall map over the past 30 years more than all of us combined probably.  He’s the “storm totals snow map” godfather. 

[NorEastermass128]

51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

WinterWolf right now

Which one fits the tenor?  Push that one. 

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Feb 13 gave a lot of this area down through Hamden and New Haven and long island  well over 30”  

Oh trust me i know, that's what im sayin' the NESIS map for that event is ridiculous, especially for CT. I think i've done that map 3 or 4 times over.

[Ginx snewx]

16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I think that is, by far, the largest area of 30+ red shading ive seen on any NESIS map, including Feb 13 which has like almost nothing above 30". Is that not overly conservative for once?

I was there in Maine for both 3 footers in Feb and March on the mountain with nobody there because all the roads were blocked south of Sunday River. Supervisors were running lifts. March was Sierra Cement while Feb was champagne.  

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Oh trust me i know, that's what im sayin' the NESIS map for that event is ridiculous, especially for CT. I think i've done that map 3 or 4 times over.

Oh for sure…I was thinking you meant it differently. My mistake. 

[Kitz Craver]

36 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Nobody ever said that…really? WTF?  I said  the tenor is the tenor(for cold to win out)…which it has been. I never said the the Euro, or this or that model was right.  Just because the Euro shows snowy and cold, doesn’t mean I believe it.  So let’s see if it shows this 5 days from now? If it dies, and the GFS caves, then the Euro will be following the tenor of the season…which was for cold to find a way to win out. 

Whoa, chill bro, I’m just fuckin with ya

[Ginx snewx]

You guys give Wolfie a bunch of shit good natured but have to hand it to him. While most of you busting his balls were fence sitting, he was adamant about this winter being nothing like the past 5 way back in October.  

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Interesting phenomenon….how many western peeps would turn down 10” of snow on top of their current pack so they wouldn’t have to watch eastern folks get 30”? 

Me and everyone else in WCT…

[Kitz Craver]

19 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Comparison is the thief of joy

That’s why so many youth lose their shit on social media, constant comparisons 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

That’s why so many youth lose their shit on social media, constant comparisons 

Comparing one’s life to how much snow they got compared to their friends out East is much different lol 

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Comparing one’s life to how much snow they got compared to their friends out East is much different lol 

You get the idea though

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Y'all EOR peeps have to understand how brutal it has been with KU storms since Feb 13 out here. We’ve had Some great events between 12-16” but when you come within 25mi of several historic 18-30” events…it’s painful. Add to that, some of the close misses were busts, it’s become a tough pill swallow.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Y'all EOR peeps have to understand how brutal it has been with KU storms since Feb 13 out here. Some great events between 12-16” but when you come within 25mi of several historic 18-30” events…it’s painful. Add to that, some of the close misses were busts, it’s become a tough pill swallow.

Every 2-3 years they get one, while it’s been 13 years here. Maybe it’s time for us to move? Although I’m stuck here with my business. 

[dendrite]

Only 70” in Pinkham for Feb 69 and 35” here. Weak.

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Whoa, chill bro, I’m just fuckin with ya

Ok no worries pal. And just for the record, I’m not saying the euro is right…I’m just saying it wouldn’t surprise me if we err on the cooler side rather than not.  Just my gut feeling. 

[The 4 Seasons]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Only 70” in Pinkham for Feb 69 and 35” here. Weak.

i know someone in Cumberland who would be PISSED if that happened to them

[Johnno]

22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Me and everyone else in WCT…

Hi

[WinterWolf]

25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Y'all EOR peeps have to understand how brutal it has been with KU storms since Feb 13 out here. We’ve had Some great events between 12-16” but when you come within 25mi of several historic 18-30” events…it’s painful. Add to that, some of the close misses were busts, it’s become a tough pill swallow.

Yup.  I have no issues with getting 8-10”, and peeps east getting 12-13”, cuz I’m not greedy, or have a JP fetish.  
 

But I would pass on 8-10” if EOR is getting 28-34”.   Don’t want to see somebody just to my east get 3x the snow in one storm. We saw that in ‘15 enough for us westerners to last a lifetime.  And then in January of ‘22 it happened again with that big blizzard.  

So that’s why I wasn’t all that sympathetic when they’ve gotten boned the last 4-5 years. it had to happen.  But now we all even again. And all is right in the snow universe.  

 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup.  I have no issues with getting 8-10”, and peeps east getting 12-13”, cuz I’m not greedy, or have a JP fetish.  
 

But I would pass on 8-10” if EOR is getting 28-34”.   Don’t want to see somebody just to my east get 3x the snow in one storm. We saw that in ‘15 enough for us westerners to last a lifetime.  And then in January of ‘22 it happened again with that big blizzard.  

So that’s why I wasn’t all that sympathetic when they’ve gotten boned the last 4-5 years. it had to happen.  But now we all even again. And all is right in the snow universe.  

 

 

Lol all in fun bc it’s just snow but you are much more forgiving - we had 12-15” total in December while they had 4-8” and since then they are at 30-50” and we are about 15-20” we aren’t even. Eastern New England is definitely just a better snow spot than our back yards we just have to accept it. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Little bit of an ensemble fight

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol all in fun bc it’s just snow but you are much more forgiving - we had 12-15” total in December while they had 4-8” and since then they are at 30-50” and we are about 15-20” we aren’t even. Eastern New England is definitely just a better snow spot than our back yards we just have to accept it. 

Ehh Not always…they’ve had their clunkers too.
 

I’m in a good spot seasonally right now…so I’m happy at the moment. I did real well in the big one here(18*), and I’m at 42” YTD with 50” as climo.  So it’s all good.  In these recent bad years…they’ve been worse than here imo…just ask Scott and Brett. 

[CoastalWx]

AI ensemble did not look good. Basically it’s EPS ensemble and that’s really pushing it. I hope it comes back, but instead of going to Epicosity, we go soft.

[ORH_wxman]

16 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol all in fun bc it’s just snow but you are much more forgiving - we had 12-15” total in December while they had 4-8” and since then they are at 30-50” and we are about 15-20” we aren’t even. Eastern New England is definitely just a better snow spot than our back yards we just have to accept it. 

A lot of it latitude too. Most of E MA is well north of you and Wolfie’s area. Kevin in Tolland is basically the same latitude as Tblizz-Brett. 
 

Some of the SW CT posters are even south of the cape’s latitude. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

A lot of it latitude too. Most of E MA is Will north of you and Wolfie’s area. Kevin in Tolland is basically the same latitude as Tblizz-Brett. 
 

Some of the SW CT posters are even south of the cape’s latitude. 

He’s SW of me. Most of the discrepancies from ‘15 and then in Jan of 22 had nothing to do with latitude though. It was eastern developers and late bloomers and such.  

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

He’s SW of me. Most of the discrepancies from ‘15 and then in Jan of 22 had nothing to do with latitude though. It was eastern developers and late bloomers and such.  

Longitude obv plays a role too. New England is unique in that it sticks out into the Atlantic. So eastern areas have easier access to a large moisture source to their south and east. But latitude def matters too. But I’d agree in the monsters that longitude might be more important. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

He’s SW of me. Most of the discrepancies from ‘15 and then in Jan of 22 had nothing to do with latitude though. It was eastern developers and late bloomers and such.  

You guys have the December 00s and the March 17s to boost you. Those just kill this area.

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

some is from today lol

that's what folks are excited about?? lol

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Models definitely want to warm things for several days.  If you consecutive days for everybody in the 40s or more in the warm spots.  Cold seems to reload in Canada later on in the runs though. 
Hopefully get some late month fun. Also not a lot of precipitation next 7-10 days. 

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

that's what folks are excited about?? lol

whos excited, aside from the strawman