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Is we back? February discussion thread


mahk_webstah
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13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro skynet is a whiff on the 16th. Hasn’t liked this threat for several cycles. 

Yeah, I actually don't have a problem with it.   Fits the general modal changes that are increasingly in conflict with the idea of placing amplitude in the MA to NE.   There can still be aspects rippling through the field, so not intending to 'whiff' per se... just that it's within the realm of possibility with a strong -d(PNAP) in the background.

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EURO kind of similar to the CMC dropping that PV fragment ( I dunno what else to call it?) Friday night across the region. Helps bring a reinforcing shot of cold air. I think it would be more interesting if we could speed up the system to take better advantage of this since it will be so marginal anyway. 

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4 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yeah that's what im sayin'. After about the first week-10 days of April our snow chances down here virtually drop to zero. Barring some weird freak event. As long as its not like 2020 and snowing May again, im good with the last week of March/first week of April.

I was just looking at Feb 2018 climo and i forgot that after that late February 4-8" paste storm we nearly hit 80 a few days later. Totally forgot about that insane torch in Feb. Then March 18 happened. We had little snowpack that season... it would snow-melt-rain-snow repeat. 

Late Season SNE

Late Season CT

 

Yup it was a couple days of real warmth…pushed 80 degrees as you said(I remember my truck temp swung 82) …and the year before, 2017 had a big torch in Feb too around the same time.   One of those February’s, 17 or 18, we had the huge warmth, and then 24hrs later it was snowing.  It was amazing. 

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