overcautionisbad Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, Rhino16 said: What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”? He considers the first guess more of his prediction of things 72 hour before. Then says his first call is his first actual snowfall forecast Welp, gg I expect his last call map will be adjusted tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”? Hell if i know, it probably gives DT more guesses without saying he screwed up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Is the NAM trying to do something here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 6z NAM is way NW. 3k NAM is less aggressive but also significantly NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Army Mike Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Only a couple hundred mile shift....The NAM is just looking for attention 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago RGEM is slightly north too, at least with the overall precip field. 12k NAM has 1”+ snow up to around Fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 6z Nam def trending North with precip amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago January 25, 2000! Sike. Just NAM being the NAM and still hundreds of miles from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago NAM looks like it’s gonna be NW again with the precip, I’m hoping to back into snow showers and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 6z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I was looking at the models this morning and feeling bad for our North Carolina/SE VA weenies but they mostly seem to be feeling okay? I took a very quick glance at the AIFS & its ens and thought the world would've exploded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Light snow falling down here. Not much virga. Radar returns are light but it's making it to the ground. Not expecting much. 1-3 or something like that. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, IUsedToHateCold said: 6z: yeah....sadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, paulythegun said: yeah....sadly. Better position but worse track. I don't think we're getting anything here, but you know, It's fun to watch I guess? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15z SREF still with 4 members out of 27(?) with over 10" of snow for DCA. Max is 26.3". Good times. The SREF is definitely sniffing out the north trend that I'm imagining on the radar. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 17 minutes ago, paulythegun said: 15z SREF still with 4 members out of 27(?) with over 10" of snow for DCA. Max is 26.3". Good times. The SREF is definitely sniffing out the north trend that I'm imagining on the radar. Beautiful day to radar hallucinate. Did you see how far north the virga is getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, paulythegun said: 15z SREF still with 4 members out of 27(?) with over 10" of snow for DCA. Max is 26.3". Good times. The SREF is definitely sniffing out the north trend that I'm imagining on the radar. Its not over til its over... How reliable are the SREF's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Imagine if the 12z HRRR did what it just did to Raleigh/VA beach to DC/Baltimore. Now that’s worth a crashout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Too bad, it's a beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago Odd to me how this storm has a pronounced “U” formation to the precip shield . I don’t think that dramatic of a dip will occur so the outcome of this not set in stone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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