The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[overcautionisbad]

1 minute ago, Rhino16 said:

 

What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”?

He considers the first guess more of his prediction of things 72 hour before. Then says his first call is his first actual snowfall forecast

 

Welp, gg

I expect his last call map will be adjusted tomorrow.

[ravensrule]

11 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

 

What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”?

Hell if i know, it probably gives DT more guesses without saying he screwed up. 

[hosj III]

Is the NAM trying to do something here

[hstorm]

6z NAM is way NW. 3k NAM is less aggressive but also significantly NW. 

[Army Mike]

Only a couple hundred mile shift....The NAM is just looking for attention 

[hstorm]

RGEM is slightly north too, at least with the overall precip field.

12k NAM has 1”+ snow up to around Fredericksburg. 

[jlewis1111]

[jlewis1111]

6z Nam def trending North with precip amounts

[osfan24]

January 25, 2000!

Sike. Just NAM being the NAM and still hundreds of miles from us.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

NAM looks like it’s gonna be NW again with the precip, I’m hoping to back into snow showers and wind. 

[IUsedToHateCold]

 
6z:

[NorthArlington101]

I was looking at the models this morning and feeling bad for our North Carolina/SE VA weenies but they mostly seem to be feeling okay? I took a very quick glance at the AIFS & its ens and thought the world would've exploded.

[Bob Chill]

Light snow falling down here. Not much virga. Radar returns are light but it's making it to the ground. Not expecting much. 1-3  or something like that. 

[paulythegun]

1 hour ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

 
6z:

yeah....sadly. 

[IUsedToHateCold]

8 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

yeah....sadly. 

Better position but worse track. I don't think we're getting anything here, but you know, It's fun to watch I guess?