MANDA Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: January 24-February 8, 2026 is on track to record a 16-day mean temperature below 20°. The last time that happened was outside the life span of many AmWx members: January 11-26, 1982. Don, what would be the one before 1982? Just wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: With the lone exception of the end of January storm, since November, it has, by and large, been a dry winter. We are still in drought conditions and really have been since the fall of 2024….. The higher ratios helped us out this winter with our snows since we have been continuing with this drier pattern since the fall of 2024. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 23 minutes ago, MANDA said: Don, what would be the one before 1982? Just wondering. Here are the 16-day stretches with mean temperatures below 20° beginning with Winter 1975-76. I haven't added 2025-26, because the value isn't final, but it will come in between 19.7° and 19.9°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Here are the 16-day stretches with mean temperatures below 20° beginning with Winter 1975-76. I haven't added 2025-26, because the value isn't final, but it will come in between 19.7° and 19.9°. Thanks. I knew January 77 had to be on the list. Late 70’s into early 80’s had some solid cold. Hard to believe it took from 82 until now to add to the list. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Common theme all winter Wait til backdoor season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: Wait til backdoor season. I pray that you are wrong But I Suspect you are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 16 degrees in my back porch and frozen pipes on second floor bathroom. Might be ripping open a wall tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 14 minutes ago, steve392 said: 16 degrees in my back porch and frozen pipes on second floor bathroom. Might be ripping open a wall tonight. Frozen main line even with the water dripping last night. Been a fun day. Apparently I've heard there's 1000s like us out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 57 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: Wait til backdoor season. I love it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 41 minutes ago, Rjay said: Frozen main line even with the water dripping last night. Been a fun day. Apparently I've heard there's 1000s like us out there. Thankfully our main isn't a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Rock solid. 13" thick off Toms River Yacht club. Walked across to Ocean Gate for pizza. The urge to drive on is rising... If only I didn't have a 4900 lb SUV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Here are the 16-day stretches with mean temperatures below 20° beginning with Winter 1975-76. I haven't added 2025-26, because the value isn't final, but it will come in between 19.7° and 19.9°. Thanks. My memory of the 1982 winter was all about the April blizzard. I didn't realize that winter featured a rare cold snap as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Some photos from this morning. Riverbank State Park? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said: Riverbank State Park? . Near there. Hudson River Greenway near 158th Street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The coldest day of Winter 2025-2026 is now going into the books. Tomorrow will start very cold, but the afternoon will be less harsh as readings climb into the middle and upper 20s. The temperature will reach or exceed freezing on Tuesday. The persistent and often severely cold pattern is poised to break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February, even as milder readings return. After mid-month, highs could begin to reach the lower 40s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +0.05 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.397 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.0° (4.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.8°. That would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The gfs consistency never ceases to amaze me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, steve392 said: Thankfully our main isn't a problem. I have water! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Flying to Florida with the family next Sunday evening. I’m sure we’ll get crushed and trip ruined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: I have water! Nice. Now go flush. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: I have water! Presumably only coming out of the faucets! Great to hear. Worst feeling in the world once the pipes freeze, just hoping that it ends well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 21 minutes ago, Rjay said: I have water! It must be a sign! I got hot water flowing minutes ago. Switched sides of sink with space heater. Hoping to get cold going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, steve392 said: It must be a sign! I got hot water flowing minutes ago. Switched sides of sink with space heater. Hoping to get cold going. Hair Dryer works too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, NEG NAO said: Hair Dryer works too Much success (borat voice)! Both pipes clear. Although I forgot I had cold water turned up high and it splattered everywhere lol whooops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, steve392 said: Much success (borat voice)! Both pipes clear. Although I forgot I had cold water turned up high and it splattered everywhere lol whooops congrats hopefully pipes didn't split anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago Tip for no frozen pipes. At least faucets. Leave cabinets underneath cracked open to let heat in. Let the faucet drip. It doesn't have to be much. 1 drip every 3-4 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 10 minutes ago Share Posted 10 minutes ago 55 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: congrats hopefully pipes didn't split anywhere So far so good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Hair Dryer works too haven't needed one since 1982.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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