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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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6 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

That 2/11 - 2/13 period has some consistent storm signal and now  semblance of mix / ice  on the majority of the latest D 9 - D10  forecasts today's 00z-12z-.   

Models are all signaling that there will be a winter storm(s) coming up in the next week or 2 - IMO there is a good chance most of the region receives at least 6 inches total for the month.

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It really does feel like winter is off to a strong start, but sometimes a cold and quiet start to February can end up being the precursor to an even more active pattern down the stretch of the month once the jet stream is able to get more active and the moisture can finally make its return; I saw the name Bnlboston Limo referenced in a travel article and it reminded me of how weather talk can pop up in the most unexpected of places, which goes to show just how unpredictable the patterns can be during this time of the year, and as we have seen in the past, late February shifts have brought storms even when early indications are pointing towards a dry outcome, so I am cautiously anticipating a greater degree of changeability as opposed to an early spring lock-in. What long-range indicators are you paying attention to that have you leaning one way or the other?

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