Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[Spanks45]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Hopefully it can get closer than 1/4/18 did…that would have been biblical had it gotten closer. But it gave us a good storm despite it being so far east. 

If I recall, that one kept inching further west on guidance, right up until go time.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

and these are the possible paths this low may take

Please, read more, and post less for the time being. That would help you and all of us. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Please, read more, and post less for the time being. That would help you and all of us. 

no problem sorry 

[MuddyWx]

6 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

CMC shouldn't be as far west as that insane 12z run but hopefully still good

nevermind 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

If I recall, that one kept inching further west on guidance, right up until go time.

It did…but was still way the heck out there, and gave us a good storm, but it could have been so much better had it been closer. Let’s hope this can come closer than that did. 

[ineedsnow]

CMC keeps fighting with dual lows... get one of those to win out and 

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Hopefully it can get closer than 1/4/18 did…that would have been biblical had it gotten closer. But it gave us a good storm despite it being so far east. 

It went over the BM, it was the speed of movement that halted really insane totals. E MA only got a bit more than we did, 14-18 vs 10-14 over CT. But it was pretty close, great track, just was flying. you can see the sfc/h5 maps on my site if you click the link above. upper levels didn't close off early like this system is progged atm. 

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

If I recall, that one kept inching further west on guidance, right up until go time.

yea it did, went right over the BM almost due north. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

no problem sorry 

Don’t listen to the resident carnivore, this is a safe place to express your weather enthusiasm. Getting bunned comes with it.

[MJO812]

Cmc is really close 

[JKEisMan]

Jogs east after being 970 off the Delmarva. Still clips SEMA pretty well

[78Blizzard]

I'll take either the GFS or the CMC here. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

I'll take either the GFS or the CMC here. 

Of course you would..lol

[MuddyWx]

s/w looks a bit better on the GEFS

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

It went over the BM, it was the speed of movement that halted really insane totals. E MA only got a bit more than we did, 14-18 vs 10-14 over CT. But it was pretty close, great track, just was flying. you can see the sfc/h5 maps on my site if you click the link above. upper levels didn't close off early like this system is progged atm. 

I remember Joe Fury saying that it was just too far offshore for us, and that it could have been so much more.  

I Didn’t realize it went over the BM(but that is still a tad east for optimal impacts for WOR folks as you know). 

[Roger Smith]

GFS is one degree east of a perfect track for all of New England and the track it has now is pretty good for eastern New England, I would say. What's one degree in 144 hours? (one half of a mile per hour that's what). 

Course, it could shift 2 deg east then it's NS in the jackpot zone. As DIT says, snow breeds snow. You'll do fine.

[George001]

13 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

and these are the possible paths this low may take

The low moving east to west into PA won’t happen, but the second track isn’t impossible. I don’t like it, but it can and has happened before. It’s probably going to be east of that though.

[Prismshine Productions]

Hey EoR crew, can you sacrifice this one for us here in the valley to jackpot since we got screwed with rates with this last storm? Please?

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Don’t listen to the resident carnivore, this is a safe place to express your weather enthusiasm. Getting bunned comes with it.

It Was meant to help…a little constructive criticism was all. Nothing wrong with enthusiasm, just keep it real. 

[JKEisMan]

Ukie with the dual lows

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

The low moving east to west into PA won’t happen, but the second track isn’t impossible. I don’t like it, but it can and has happened before. It’s probably going to be east of that though.

Superstorm Sandy had something like that but you're right i would go with Euro AI that was just no computer model basis it was just my educated guess. I will have a snowmap tomorrow and i'm solely going to base my snowmap off the Euro AI guidance! Have a good evening!

[ineedsnow]

Just now, JKEisMan said:

Ukie with the dual lows

this ones going to change a bunch until models figure this out

[Wxbear25]

Ukie with the dual lows

Much improved over 12z though

[CT Valley Snowman]

Looks like GEFS with a bump west through hr 126 with some more left leaning members.  

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

this ones going to change a bunch until models figure this out

Hangs around NC too long and then gets kicked east. I'd like to see that stall just 100 mi southwest of the Cape.

[MJO812]

Just now, CT Valley Snowman said:

Looks like GEFS with a bump west through hr 126 with some more left leaning members.  

West of op

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Superstorm Sandy had something like that but you're right i would go with Euro AI that was just no computer model basis it was just my educated guess. I will have a snowmap tomorrow and i'm solely going to base my snowmap off the Euro AI guidance! Have a good evening!

Geek, this may not even get up here. So no maps until we’re sure this is coming up, and is close enough for a good hit. Tomorrow is not the time for a snow map.  Chill for a bit.  If it becomes more imminent…post your maps then. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Hey EoR crew, can you sacrifice this one for us here in the valley to jackpot since we got screwed with rates with this last storm? Please?

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

No.

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

West of op

Not only was the GEFS west of the 18z run, the members are more consolidated to the west.

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hopefully it can get closer than 1/4/18 did…that would have been biblical had it gotten closer. But it gave us a good storm despite it being so far east. 

It wouldn't have been biblical bc it closed off to far south.