The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[eyewall]

5 minutes ago, Regan said:

Wow. Just compared Brad P and Allan Huffman maps. Idk what to think about this. 

Nobody does.

[knowledgeispwr]

19 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Brad Ps latest map won’t make any friends in triangle or triad 

https://x.com/wxbrad/status/2017270520702534102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

I live in SW Winston-Salem. I think Brad's map makes sense, even though I hope to get much more. Honestly, I've been trying to keep expectations for my backyard at 1". I think dry slots will get me.

[Regan]

Brad and Allan for quick reference 

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Wrong thread bro.

[sinterpol]

Maps showing dry slot vs. maps that don't: which ones would you trust more in the short-range? Southern Pines is either a monster storm or less than half of that. 

[franklin NCwx]

19 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Brad Ps latest map won’t make any friends in triangle or triad 

https://x.com/wxbrad/status/2017270520702534102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

Looking at those maps he lacks a lot of knowledge with regards to the western part of the state 

[CheoahBald1]

Looking at those maps he lacks a lot of knowledge with regards to the western part of the state 

He’s always been that way for us


.

[BornAgain13]

4 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Nobody does.

You going to have a final map?

[WinstonSalemArlington]

LilJ has been drafted to start the February 5 thread when the proper yoke comes 

 

 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

4 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Wrong thread bro.

Oops my bad 

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

You going to have a final map?

When I get time this afternoon yes.

[Regan]

Usually he focuses on western NC. I hope he’s wrong here in Wake. It’s really frustrating seeing all these good short range models and yet he puts out this…

[wxdawg10]

I love Brad P but he's been all over the place with the last 2 storms.  As for this one..Just depends on perspective. He's leaning more into the dry slot, Allan not as much. he just mentioned it as a possibility.

 

Also Brad is conservative by nature. Which is the smart play if you live in NC..

 

[NEGA_Dawg]

6 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

Looking at those maps he lacks a lot of knowledge with regards to the western part of the state 

His map almost puts NE GA in a dusting.

[olafminesaw]

The Hires RGEM. Did far and away the best with our last storm

[lilj4425]

Just now, olafminesaw said:

The Hires RGEM. Did far and away the best with our last storm

That’s a heck of a cut off.  

[cbmclean]

1 minute ago, olafminesaw said:

The Hires RGEM. Did far and away the best with our last storm

Um...sharp cutoff to the SW there.

[gman]

3 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

Um...sharp cutoff to the SW there.

That map has been cutoff on the western side. 

[olafminesaw]

6 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

That’s a heck of a cut off.  

In case it wasn't abundantly clear, that is the edge of the model's domain being that it is a Canadian model 

[letitsnow]

13 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

LilJ has been drafted to start the February 5 thread when the proper yoke comes 

 

 

And if it gets to that point the observation thread too!!

[Isopycnic]

My current forecast for Durham. <1-3” of powder. 

[olafminesaw]

[ADB83]

AIFS noticeably wetter on 12z run


.

[StoneColdWeatherAustin]

27 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said:

I love Brad P but he's been all over the place with the last 2 storms.  As for this one..Just depends on perspective. He's leaning more into the dry slot, Allan not as much. he just mentioned it as a possibility.

 

Also Brad is conservative by nature. Which is the smart play if you live in NC..

 

It is all about perspective.  If you think Brad was all over the place with the last two storms, I would love to hear what the description of the last two storm threads would be considered.  

[Regan]

So we are just discounting all the other runs from the wee hours of the night and today? I know it sounds like a relationship… “you’re just gonna throw all the good times away”. Feels manic. 

[CaryWx]

2 minutes ago, Regan said:

So we are just discounting all the other runs from the wee hours of the night and today? I know it sounds like a relationship… “you’re just gonna throw all the good times away”. Feels manic. 

Following weather models is a 'what have you done for me lately' exercise  

[NorthHillsWx]

EURO not great for triangle…

EDIT: gets better 

[eyewall]

At this point the forecast is a crap shoot but here is the 12z Euro:

[NorthHillsWx]

This storm gonna test the sanity of triangle folks 

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, eyewall said:

At this point the forecast is a crap shoot but here is the 12z Euro:

That’s better than it was looking.