The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[NorthHillsWx]

4 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

AI Euro has a different scenario than the Euro Op

 

No- very similar. Use kuchera 

[timnc910]

1 minute ago, ADB83 said:

The ratios are different. You need to use Kuchera for this storm


.

 

1 minute ago, Divine said:

goes without saying 10:1 is not the ratio to use for this storm

I know but the Kuchera is not available on Pivotal weather.

[neatlburbwthrguy]

I will get excited for north Atlanta suburbs once @SnowGoose69 says we have a chance

[chris624wx]

Definitely hugging the Euro in Hampton Roads!

[buckeyefan1]

54 minutes ago, scottk said:

As someone who is not a regular on the forum, I have a question.

Where are the majority of you all located?  
 

I’ve gathered that it is somewhere in NC. But when I see posts saying things like “this model run was really bad” or “this one looks like a great trend for us!”, I don’t immediately know what/where/who you’re referring to. 

 

51 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said:

It's because on a cellphone you cannot see ones location u have to view their profile. On a laptop it shows location. This is NC, SC, GA, VA

 

30 minutes ago, scottk said:

Makes sense.  Thanks  

 

It does seem like there is an area that the majority of the board resides in though. I’m guessing it’s central to western NC from what I can tell. 

 

8 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Look at your own profile ... zero hint as to where you're located. 

Those who don't show their city and state are irritating. Worse yet at those who show only their zip code as if we're all supposed to know? Narcissists much? 

Turn your phone sideways. Landscape. You’ll see locations 

[timnc910]

Just now, Blacksburg Coach said:

you have to have a scrip, it's only 10$ a month. I'll sign up around this time of year and maybe again if a hurricane is lurking

Yes i have the subscription. Anyone that has access to the Kuchera map for the Euro Ai please post it.

[KrummWx]

2 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

 

I know but the Kuchera is not available on Pivotal weather.

You can also just do some back-of-hand math. most mets are saying 15:1 - 17:1 ratios, so just double the number and shave like an inch or so off

[Stormpc]

Just now, buckeyefan1 said:

 

 

 

Turn your phone sideways. Landscape. You’ll see locations 

That doesn't work for me anymore either.

[buckeyefan1]

Just now, Stormpc said:

That doesn't work for me anymore either.

Stop using the mobile version and use the desktop 

[scottk]

11 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said:

Look at your own profile ... zero hint as to where you're located. 

Those who don't show their city and state are irritating. Worse yet at those who show only their zip code as if we're all supposed to know? Narcissists much? 

Yea just added it a minute ago once I was told in another comment that the Location field even existed (but is not viewable via phone). 
 

My general question was more around the fact that the majority of the board appears to be in NC. But again I now know I can stop and click on everyone’s profile to see their location. 

[timnc910]

QPF difference between the Euro Op and the Euro AI

 

 

 

[KrummWx]

2 minutes ago, scottk said:

Yea just added it a minute ago once I was told in another comment that the Location field even existed (but is not viewable via phone). 
 

My general question was more around the fact that the majority of the board appears to be in NC. But again I now know I can stop and click on everyone’s profile to see their location. 

If I had to guess in order of most representation it would be

 

1. RDU

2. CLT

3. GSP

4. ATL

5. GSO

6. PGV/ILM

[tarheelwx]

Euro and Euro AI seem generally aligned at this stage. 

TW

[suzook]

9 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said:

I will get excited for north Atlanta suburbs once @SnowGoose69 says we have a chance

Not really an ATL storm. Maybe an inch at most north west of ATL.

[neatlburbwthrguy]

1 minute ago, suzook said:

Not really an ATL storm. Maybe an inch at most north west of ATL.

Rather be north east than north west of atl

[Snowncanes]

Really interesting to see RAH so bullish on central NC. Of note, they have Greenville NC at 98% to see more than 4 inches. And rdu at 87%. But they have rdu at 10% to see more than 18” and Greenville at 2%. I guess that shows where they are most uncertain about. 

[HWY316wx]

1 minute ago, suzook said:

Not really an ATL storm. Maybe an inch at most north west of ATL.

Gwinnett could see 2-4" so I would consider it an ATL storm.  That cutoff line may cut the city in half, just depends on how far it comes West and by all accounts not 1 model knows.  They change every 6 hours.

[Solution Man]

Guys, popping in from the mid-Atlantic forum. Good luck and reel this one in….well deserved!

[NYweatherguy]

8 minutes ago, suzook said:

Not really an ATL storm. Maybe an inch at most north west of ATL.

I think areas north and east of ATL can see up to four inches. Not weenie wishcasting - just look what the Euro is spitting out for Buford/Gainesville. Athens could easily see six inches. 

[fig]

Just now, Silver Meteor said:

Where's the "coastal?" This is neither a Miller A nor a Miller B. Blizzard cancel on the Outer Banks? WTH is this crap? 

This looks to only be through Sun 07z so probably more to come

[UpstateSCBud]

Take it fwiw, but I’m pretty sure the EURO at around 48 hours has very high verification scores 

[franklin NCwx]

Im sure everyone is hugging the euro ! 

[NGTim]

Despite the maps, or maybe because of the trends, I’ve convinced myself I’m going to wind up in the bullseye here in NE GA.  Mods go ahead and kick me off the board for a few weeks. 

[wxdawg10]

12 minutes ago, Snowncanes said:

Really interesting to see RAH so bullish on central NC. Of note, they have Greenville NC at 98% to see more than 4 inches. And rdu at 87%. But they have rdu at 10% to see more than 18” and Greenville at 2%. I guess that shows where they are most uncertain about. 

I don't think they're buying the dryslot of doom. It does feel like an extreme solution. But that could change with more guidance from the short range models.

 

If we can avoid the dryslot then generally speaking RDU east is the hypothetical jackpot zone

[neatlburbwthrguy]

6 minutes ago, NYweatherguy said:

I think areas north and east of ATL can see up to four inches. Not weenie wishcasting - just look what the Euro is spitting out for Buford/Gainesville. Athens could easily see six inches. 

Yep I’m in Dunwoody & hoping for 2-3 inches somehow 

[buckeyefan1]

Here’s the Euro AI map for those who were stroking out to see it  

[Aleksey]

Despite the maps, or maybe because of the trends, I’ve convinced myself I’m going to wind up in the bullseye here in NE GA.  Mods go ahead and kick me off the board for a few weeks. 

You’re not wrong. I’m in Winder, 25 miles west of Athens and we’re easily looking at 2-3” at a 10:1 ratio. Considering this will be closer to 15:1 ratio, Winder I think sees 3-4” with Athens 4-5” and that could also still be higher too. We’re sitting pretty here for GA.


.

[scottk]

24 minutes ago, KrummWx said:

If I had to guess in order of most representation it would be

 

1. RDU

2. CLT

3. GSP

4. ATL

5. GSO

6. PGV/ILM

Awesome, very helpful. Thanks. 

[Buckfever2]

Anyway that ULL digs further west? Or at this point...is anything is possible.

[BooneWX]

When the euro and its machine brother are in agreement, look out. Jordan/Pippen combo.