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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm


lilj4425
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NWS service not so bullish ih Raleigh

Friday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday
Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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13 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

The overwhelming sense of modeling de javu should not be lost on this board.  Not invested until the dropsonde data is ingested tomorrow.  Thats when we went to sh*t last week.  Show me model alignment on a Miller A on Thursday morning and I'll bite.  In the meantime, add these runs to the digital snow thread.  What a season!

 

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0z RGEM at 66 looks better over the Midwest but heights are pretty flat in the northeast. Compared it to the GFS at the same time at 18z and there’s a pretty noticeable difference. Let the rest of the run play out and see if it improves. 

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16 minutes ago, Orange county said:

NWS service not so bullish ih Raleigh

Friday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday
Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

NWS always plays it conservative here because most of the time it is true ..."snow likely" is as bullish as you can get this far out 

GSP added a snow may be heavy at times for the forecast here 

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3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

You have my attention!  Great find.  I figured for sure the data wouldn't be included until tomorrow.  Lets see where we land at 6z!

You’re half right, it will take a couple runs for the DS data to be fully digested and the the models to adjust but Oz will be a start 

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2 minutes ago, DeltaPilot said:

Please when you guys show models, show the WHOLE SE, not just SC/NC. PLEASE??? Some of us live in GA.;)

I have been thinking that same thought. It's like this is the NC/VA board. 

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Still having power/internet/cell service problems here so I'm not able to see any models for this one. Can load one page of this thread in like 5 minutes lol. Any chance this thing can get going in the northern gulf a little sooner? Tired of being fringed by every single event except for ice storms apparently.

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