BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 0z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Dang it, I don’t like it when we have several models in agreement this far out. Fingers crossed this storm will be different but seeing clown maps like this 5 days out sucks!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 This solution is pretty incredible. Its literally a piece of the PV lobe breaking off and phasing with a piece of energy in the STJ. The heights would be anomalously low for our area if it were to actually occur. Its extremely rare and also why we should understand the high bust potential of this. Let's hope it works out for a change. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 37 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 1-3' in a lot of areas. This clown map looks like a guitar. I think TWC should name this one Prince. I will see myself out. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORFDawg2013 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, HWY316wx said: This clown map looks like a guitar. I think TWC should name this one Prince. I will see myself out. Apparently the next name on their list is Gianna 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 AI Euro is slightly weaker and less precipitation. Not really east just not as negative tilt. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Not bad, just not the Canadian lol. Also this is 10:1 so up those totals a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 27 Author Share Posted January 27 It’s interesting that the Google weather model once again is in the lead and the other models appear to be playing catch up. What is it about that model that is making it verify better than the other weather models? Is there more money being put into it by the private sector or something that is causing it to use better and more up to date technology? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: It’s interesting that the Google weather model once again is in the lead and the other models appear to be playing catch up. What is it about that model that is making it verify better than the other weather models? Is there more money being put into it by the private sector or something that is causing it to use better and more up to date technology? I wouldn't crown it yet. The sample size is not very large. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 0z Euro Kuchera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Euro OP is a little east on H5 starting about 72 hours. A little too far east and positive tilt to really bomb it out but not too far off. Still time. Honestly makes me feel better not everything has us in the bullseye at this point lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Euro goes neutral about 117-120 and the shortwave is further east.Not a whiff but the timing could be a tick better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I don’t have the kuchera but here’s 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 00z Euro kuchera map... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Definitely not good runs on the Euro group during the night going more away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6z icon is OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 GFS drops the hammer. Big run incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS drops the hammer. Big run incoming 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So we got a couple east…. And a couple west. Get the coffee pot ready and some 50lb test line. We need to reel this one in.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Weathernext with another tick east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 This weathernext needs a bigger sample size than 2 storms. There are a lot of variables and I'd like to see verification scores. Are there any such thing or is this just by word of mouth because some be riding it like it's a perfect model... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Also on that note I wouldn't believe anything the GFS spits out until about 2 days before the event. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 27 Author Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Weathernext with another tick east Probably a good thing this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, Met1985 said: This weathernext needs a bigger sample size than 2 storms. There are a lot of variables and I'd like to see verification scores. Are there any such thing or is this just by word of mouth because some be riding it like it's a perfect model... Weathernext has been outpacing other suite’s since tropical season, and not even relatively close either. I had a chart a while back, I’ll look today and see if it’s still on my computer and share it with you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Weathernext has been outpacing other suite’s since tropical season, and not even relatively close either. I had a chart a while back, I’ll look today and see if it’s still on my computer and share it with you. Are there public records were we can look at the verification scores? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Confidence growing for a light to moderate event across central NC. Still relying on early phasing for the higher totals (6" +) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 16 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Are there public records were we can look at the verification scores? I believe the chart I had was shared by a meteorologist on X more familiar with the westhernext suite, so I’ll see if I can find that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6z euro AI looks a few ticks better at 5H. Goes neutral a little earlier and negative a little further SW 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Looking at the 6z icon it did appear to come back west quite a bit compared to 0z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 06 GFS much better surface reflection. Can someone post the Weathernext? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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