February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[Jebman]

Just now, anotherman said:

Jebman has been brainwashed by Chuck?

Yep. MK Ultra's more like it. Totally fragmented personality, now.  I'm gonnabe really useful later...

[dailylurker]

10 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Jebman has been brainwashed by Chuck?

Time to ban lol

[JenkinsJinkies]

47 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Euro ai has a decent amount of rain for us through the end of its run.  Maybe we can starting denting the drought on the way towards spring. 

If the Niña is on the way out and the floodgates finally open this time the drought will be gone by May.

[stormy]

18 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

If the Niña is on the way out and the floodgates finally open this time the drought will be gone by May.

I hope your right!!! 

 If the long-term pattern persists into the spring, the lawn mowers can be retired, water use restrictions will be common and many folks will suffer a loss of water in private wells. The water table has dropped 22 ft. since June in Augusta County. 

[psuhoffman]

9 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

End of the 0z Euro is warming up really good in the Midwest. Run it forward a few days and we might be talking about 70s. 

117hr Euro is 57F in DCA

186hr Euro is 67F in DCA

288hr Euro is 64F in DCA

354hr Euro is 63F in DCA

4 separate fronts.. -PNA pattern

Model run is probably too extreme, but it does highlight a warmer pattern coming up. 

EVERYONE knows it's going to be warmer... but the PNA is the only thing unfavorable.  The AO/NAO/WPO are all decent.  And late Feb and March the PNA is not as significant as it is earlier in winter.  We are trying to find opportunities to sneak a snowstorm in between the warm periods, which is very doable and has happened MANY times before in a -PNA late in the season.  We almost did this weekend...if the wave was SLIGHTLY more amplified NW of 95 would be getting some snow Sunday in an otherwise warm period.  

[bncho]

The GFS was really close to something for the 24th, if NS had phased quicker it'd have turned neg tilt quicker and probably have been an HECS

it also kinda looks like the Feb 2025 debacle, similar setup, same time of year, but i'd definitely run that look back

[psuhoffman]

Just remember as we head into the final 1/3 of the snow season these helpful rules about what to expect when utilizing our guidance, just follow the chart

If the GFS shows snow: It's not going to snow

If the GGEM shows snow:  It's not going to snow but you can raise one eyebrow

If the Euro shows snow: It's not going to snow but you'll be tired from staying up until 1am

If they all show snow: It's still not going to snow but it's going to hurt a lot more when it doesn't.  

[bncho]

@Heisy there's a stationary 980-990 bomb for your timeframe

[bncho]

MECS/borderline HECS on the Euro AI. Subtract about 2-5" for anywhere that is DC and NW due to the 2/15 event. 

[psuhoffman]

AIFS has been really interested in Feb 24. I’m calling it the @Maestrobjwastorm 

[Amped]

26 minutes ago, bncho said:

@Heisy there's a stationary 980-990 bomb for your timeframe

It stalls near Salisbury for like 30 hrs.

[psuhoffman]

Can we get the seasonal trend here?  Or do waves only trend south when we need them them to trend north???  Asking for a friend. 

[Maestrobjwa]

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

AIFS has been really interested in Feb 24. I’m calling it the @Maestrobjwastorm 

Listen if that happens I will own ALLLLLLL of it and take my shots with little complaint, hahaha

BUT if we are still tracking this by Wed and then it goes poof I'm just gonna sit here giving y'all side eye 

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Listen if that happens I will own ALLLLLLL of it and take my shots with little complaint, hahaha

 Baja blast, avocado vortex, and now this. This one needs to happen or your LLC is in serious jeopardy.