mitchnick Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Ukie has nothing for us or anyone else for that matter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie has nothing for us or anyone else for that matter. no new snow just epic cold and enduring snow pack. two outta three ain't bad...got the natural gas bill yesterday so apparently there is a cost to a cold winter 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie has nothing for us or anyone else for that matter. One of these days man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 41 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I assumed you meant south like North Carolina, not Central VA. If we want to treat the GFS like a normal model, this run is okay with me. In the game Not sure why we’re crashing out so hard right now. It’s nearly 6 days away and will take time to resolve. Besides if this storm goes north we rain! Frankly it being to our south is the best shot we get something frozen even if we aren’t the jack zone 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Not sure why we’re crashing out so hard right now. It’s nearly 6 days away and will take time to resolve. Besides if this storm goes north we rain! Frankly it being to our south is the best shot we get something frozen even if we aren’t the jack zone its not going to rain...why is it showing snow down there in the carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I mentioned this before as the other day the GFS showed the system going south and OTS. Those runs showed the system coming down from Canada which maybe a reason. I say that because the GFS 18z run the other day didn't show the system coming down from Canada and so the system came west to east and we got snow. Now the GFS is showing that system again coming down from Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: Exactly. We need A+B+C divided by 20 x .16 sigman minus e squared worked by a dozen cows and an eclipse. It is what it is. I'll track but not getting my hopes up. Euro already doing the same thing as before. Color me spooked. EPIC sig material 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 5 minutes ago, Ji said: its not going to rain...why is it showing snow down there in the carolinas If you look at past runs like yesterday that had the storm further north we had an 850 low in the Ohio valley which was advecting warm air northward. It’s a delicate balance and id rather be on the southern end than the rainy northern end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 when this trends south--this will finally be ours 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 It will be over Cuba soon 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 AIFS says no - south. Might join @stormtracker and say goodnight on this one soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 19 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It will be over Cuba soon 2013/2014 vibes, but not good for us this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS says no - south. Might join @stormtracker and say goodnight on this one soon! Looks better than 6z at least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, Cobalt said: Looks better than 6z at least? No. It's really weak too. Not more than 1" east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Looks better than 6z at least?Juiced up a little bit, yeah. Still fairly fringed. Belongs in the other thread really but AIFS ticked better for our southern folks for Saturday. Somewhat decent tick given its usual stubbornness in the last few hours. Might mean an extra inch for someone. But if you buy it verbatim really only a super cool storm for eastern NC/barrier islands at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 On 1/28/2026 at 1:17 PM, North Balti Zen said: Maybe go ahead and unbuckle... bouncing around the back of the car like it is the 1970s... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Juiced up a little bit, yeah. Still fairly fringed. Belongs in the other thread really but AIFS ticked better for our southern folks for Saturday. Somewhat decent tick given its usual stubbornness in the last few hours. Might mean an extra inch for someone. But if you buy it verbatim really only a super cool storm for eastern NC/barrier islands at this point. It’s ok the clipper at 264 will save us! Till it ends up over Atlanta. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: No. It's really weak too. Not more than 1" east of the mountains. a bit IMBY-centric but it did juice up compared to 6z. 50 miles North or so? vs 6z Doesn't end up meaning much for DC-North but it did go further South which at least opens up future possibilities. Very early in the game. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDSnow93 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 In 10+ years of reading this forum I've never seen such low morale for seemingly no reason. We've got snow pack that's not going anywhere. We've got more cold air than I can remember seeing in a while. People are locking on to model runs 5+ days out just because it doesn't show what they want. It's pretty pathetic if I'm honest. We have smaller storms to track, and if you want a big dog, I'm no met, but in my experience those tend to come as the cold air retreats and we transition to a warmer period. Just my (worthless) 2 cents. 5 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 Going further out and really at range, day 10-11 on the WB EURO AI is the next threat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 47 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Not sure why we’re crashing out so hard right now. You 100% sure know why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Going further out and really at range, day 10-11 on the WB EURO AI is the next threat. Need that in Quebec 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 3 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said: In 10+ years of reading this forum I've never seen such low morale for seemingly no reason. We've got snow pack that's not going anywhere. We've got more cold air than I can remember seeing in a while. People are locking on to model runs 5+ days out just because it doesn't show what they want. It's pretty pathetic if I'm honest. We have smaller storms to track, and if you want a big dog, I'm no met, but in my experience those tend to come as the cold air retreats and we transition to a warmer period. Just my (worthless) 2 cents. I’m with you for my area in specific, but I think we do need to keep in mind that this community isn’t just Central Maryland or northern areas. If I’m not mistaken, the Eastern Shore and Southern Maryland peeps got mostly left out of our last storm because they were too far south/east, and NOW they’re too far north/west for this coastal storm. So I really can’t blame those people for being very bitter at the moment. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 4 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said: In 10+ years of reading this forum I've never seen such low morale for seemingly no reason. We've got snow pack that's not going anywhere. We've got more cold air than I can remember seeing in a while. People are locking on to model runs 5+ days out just because it doesn't show what they want. It's pretty pathetic if I'm honest. We have smaller storms to track, and if you want a big dog, I'm no met, but in my experience those tend to come as the cold air retreats and we transition to a warmer period. Just my (worthless) 2 cents. A lot of people in here thought February was setting up for a 2010 redux especially with long stretch of brutal cold. Will we really waste the month if PV suppresses everything to the south? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 10 minutes ago, Cobalt said: a bit IMBY-centric but it did juice up compared to 6z. vs 6z Doesn't end up meaning much for DC-North but it not trending further South at least opens up future possibilities. Very early in the game. I was looking at snowfall on Pivotal, not that it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Only able to see precip total maps, but the non-AI euro has a northern band and a southern band kind of situation for Wednesday. Good chunk of Maryland squeaks out 1” or so - rest is too south for most of us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 It is January 30th. DCA has close to 10 inches on the season. We have a full month+ of winter left. Remember that last week the first runs showing snow in our area were on Monday for what ended up being a Saturday night/Sunday morning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 8 minutes ago, Steve25 said: I’m with you for my area in specific, but I think we do need to keep in mind that this community isn’t just Central Maryland or northern areas. If I’m not mistaken, the Eastern Shore and Southern Maryland peeps got mostly left out of our last storm because they were too far south/east, and NOW they’re too far north/west for this coastal storm. So I really can’t blame those people for being very bitter at the moment. They have gotten hit WAY more than us the last 5 years. The morale in here is embarrassing. The coach must be John Harbaugh. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Only able to see precip total maps, but the non-AI euro has a northern band and a southern band kind of situation for Wednesday. Good chunk of Maryland squeaks out 1” or so - rest is too south for most of us. Crushed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Just now, TSSN+ said: Crushed! You will take your 1” and love it. It’s not like you’re used to more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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