katabatic Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, IronTy said: First flakes on top of Meadow Mountain! Actually picking up in a little intensity. 5F. Excellent! You and @nj2va have several hundred feet on me but it's close for mby. Thanks for the update! DP is 'up' to -5.9 so we're getting there. Ice box cold at 6.4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Reminder that this was supposed to start after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, Terpeast said: Thats my bar. An hour or two extra of all snow during heavy precip before the flip is how we hit our high ends 18/-3 we would only have to bust -0.5*C cold on upper level temps for that to happen IMO... how hard is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 11 minutes ago, bncho said: That must be why they have such high totals! That's what I was thinking. I'm curious to see what the upper air data shows for the 00z model suite!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Reminder that this was supposed to start after midnight.It’s still going to start after midnight . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balltermen Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Virga pushing north into Fairfax County. We’re close. CWG was suggesting an 11:30-ish start for Alexandria/Arlington. I think that's probably too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Reflectivity region-wide has definitely increased in the last 15 minutes or so. Tiny little band moving w-e into Woodbridge right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, umdterps29 said: It’s still going to start after midnight . It's on the doorstep of DC right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skidude Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 18/0 Cloverly Md. cloudy parked at the top of the hill! Locked and loaded! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, balltermen said: CWG was suggesting an 11:30-ish start for Alexandria/Arlington. I think that's probably too late. My guess is first flakes here in next 30 minutes. Virga overhead Alexandria right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balltermen Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, bncho said: we would only have to bust -0.5*C cold on upper level temps for that to happen IMO... how hard is that? It's really hard. We've faded modeled warm noses before, but the setups were a little different and models were not as skilled. 2/25/07 was an all snow event that was supposed to flip. But that's almost 20 years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 It's on the doorstep of DC right now...Dry air is going to take a while to saturate until heavier returns come in . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Another Field Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 18.1°F/-0.2°F in the center of Baltimore City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Light Snow, truck and driveway are dusted 15/7 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, umdterps29 said: Dry air is going to take a while to saturate until heavier returns come in . Flakes have been spotted in Stafford. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Temp still dropping, 13.7/9.3 at 9:55 pm. Moderate snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: My guess is first flakes here in next 30 minutes. Perhaps sooner, someone here reported flakes in Stafford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MilitantApathist Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just started here in Catlett. Lots of tiny flakes with a few larger ones mixed in. Picking up in intensity pretty quickly, and immediately sticking to everything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Perhaps sooner, someone here reported flakes in Stafford. It’s more than just flakes now in Stafford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: Light Snow, truck and driveway are dusted 15/7 This is good stuff. Nothing here. 14F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, wawarriors4 said: It’s more than just flakes now in Stafford. Yeah. I’ve met some normal people there once 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 First flakes in Clarksburg! Live_80482C1BC46B_1769309821000.mp4 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Not much so far: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 18 minutes ago, bncho said: We’re in the Endgame. Let’s gooo!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 I dont recall ever seeing it this cold with snow falling before - temp still hovering around 13 down here in Waynesboro... Still pixie snow so its not adding up fast... Might light a oil lamp just for the smell and old time feeling....... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Flakes have been spotted in Stafford.If giving yourself hope that you’re going to see accumulating snow earlier makes you feel better, go right ahead. In MY opinion, the flip time is going to be what really impacts the results . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 JFC look at that 2z NAM... really thumpy for Bobby Chilly Land! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Mrs. PacMan, as expected. Everything is on schedule. Waiting until about midnight for this to fill in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, Jrlg1181 said: I dont recall ever seeing it this cold with snow falling before - temp still hovering around 13 down here in Waynesboro... Still pixie snow so its not adding up fast... Might light a oil lamp just for the smell and old time feeling....... I've got two oil lamps burning right now. I swear I have gallon jugs of shabbos lamp oil all over the place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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