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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!


Jebman
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Just now, Terpeast said:

Thats my bar. An hour or two extra of all snow during heavy precip before the flip is how we hit our high ends

18/-3

we would only have to bust -0.5*C cold on upper level temps for that to happen IMO... how hard is that?

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2 minutes ago, bncho said:

we would only have to bust -0.5*C cold on upper level temps for that to happen IMO... how hard is that?

It's really hard. We've faded modeled warm noses before, but the setups were a little different and models were not as skilled.  2/25/07 was an all snow event that was supposed to flip.  But that's almost 20 years now. 

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I dont recall ever seeing it this cold with snow falling before - temp still hovering around 13 down here in Waynesboro... Still pixie snow so its not adding up fast... Might light a oil lamp just for the smell and old time feeling.......

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Just now, Jrlg1181 said:

I dont recall ever seeing it this cold with snow falling before - temp still hovering around 13 down here in Waynesboro... Still pixie snow so its not adding up fast... Might light a oil lamp just for the smell and old time feeling.......

I've got two oil lamps burning right now.  I swear I have gallon jugs of shabbos lamp oil all over the place.  

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