Chris78 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: My God, is the GFS actually leading the way? King GFS? 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: lol some models go one way others go another got to love it That's why we call the 18z model runs this time of day Happy hour,,.... Cause half the models act like they are drunk 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW 3 2 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, bncho said: Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z That shouldn't be the case based on those maps. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Euro is trending slower w/ the primary. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, bncho said: Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW Looks good to me! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, bncho said: Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW Acceptable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW Looks realistic tbh, can’t say I have anything to pick at against 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, wxmeddler said: Euro is trending slower w/ the primary. Slower or weaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, aldie 22 said: Acceptable That's thru Sunday 6pm only 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, bncho said: Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW Is the storm over ? Or is it still going at that point . It's only 23z Sunday there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 WB 18Z EURO 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO More acceptable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 NW zones flipped a little later this run. Now we wait to see if just noise or a trend for 0Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NWLong way left to go. 9.4 at Dulles at 6 PM is pretty sweet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 That's a wild amount of zr. Is it legitimate, or are we thinking more of that falls as sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Slower or weaker? Mostly slower, what that means yet, I'm not sure. It's getting pretty locked in on the synoptic evolution it seems. A deceleration in the dProg/dT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I'd call that a slight step towards the GFS. Which most of us should be happy with stopping the trend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, ErinInTheSky said: That's a wild amount of zr. Is it legitimate, or are we thinking more of that falls as sleet? More is sleet you can see the sleet panels is weird euro doesn’t display sleet correctly on the map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Since 18z most models have surprisingly budged toward the GFS at h5, not the other way around.00z is gonna be interesting 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 When in doubt; Trust the Synoptics. And the Synoptics say that there will be a low tracking up the OHV. I don't see the GFS fast coastal solution being defensible when looking at the other guidance. Edit: I would love to be wrong 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just based on @stormtrackermaps I would have guessed more snow than 12z. Whatever. I’m about done for today. Need a brain break. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Good euro run for the northern tier, keeps them all snow basically the whole storm. Let’s get another shift. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Just based on @stormtrackermaps I would have guessed more snow than 12z. Whatever. I’m about done for today. Need a brain break. Same. Hope 00z is better for all. Mix events are exasperating to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Ellinwood Posted January 23 Popular Post Share Posted January 23 Initial snow+sleet forecast... main issue will obviously be the mixing that comes in on Sunday, mainly along and east of I-95. Very excited as my kid is 6 and has not seen a 6"+ snow event. 61 5 1 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Is there any data input to these models and if not when does the sampling begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Ellinwood said: Initial snow+sleet forecast... main issue will obviously be the mixing that comes in on Sunday, mainly along and east of I-95. Very excited as my kid is 6 and has not seen a 6"+ snow event. Purpled!! Love your maps and forecasts. Everyone would and should be happy if this come to fruition 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Ellinwood said: Initial snow+sleet forecast... main issue will obviously be the mixing that comes in on Sunday, mainly along and east of I-95. Very excited as my kid is 6 and has not seen a 6"+ snow event. Nice im not sure I've seen those colors on your maps before. Hopefully you are right im pulling for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 You know what's really interesting... The Euro-AIFS and AIGFS are really similar. Like scarily so. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Initial snow+sleet forecast... main issue will obviously be the mixing that comes in on Sunday, mainly along and east of I-95. Very excited as my kid is 6 and has not seen a 6"+ snow event. You're quite bullish! What is your reasoning for this forecast? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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