SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, baltosquid said: RRFS A looks better thru 68 hours. Brought the STJ piece more south and looks like it's less interested in a quick phase. Lower heights out front. Listen man I'd hope its south considering this is its 18z run that ends with the sleet line through NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: 00z NBM, highest snow totals N/W of 95 which matches climo/sensible outcomes in these setups. LFG! Can.you please post the kuchera on that with a slightly more NE view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Listen man I'd hope its south considering this is its 18z run that ends with the sleet line through NOVA Lol I mentioned how rough it was earlier. Idk I have a suspicion this thing ain't ready for prime time but I guess I have to look closer at <48 hrs to see how it really fares. Or maybe we will get skunked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, nj2va said: 00z NBM, highest snow totals N/W of 95 which matches climo/sensible outcomes in these setups. LFG! whats flat ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 ICON ensembles. Love that high. Verbatim less low signaling in WV/OHV 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Listen man I'd hope its south considering this is its 18z run that ends with the sleet line through NOVA that model is not ready for the big leagues yet. Needs to spend a few more years in A Ball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The cold is just unrelenting on the ICON. Brutal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Can anybody confirm whether this is legit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, bncho said: Can anybody confirm whether this is legit? Check date on that 12.23.25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Army Mike Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 If Cranky puts that out i would assume so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Check date on that 1/21/2026. It's today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Ji said: whats flat ice? Actually that was the NBM Parallel, so many models geez. Here’s the ‘regular’ NBM…never knew there were multiple NBMs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Lol I mentioned how rough it was earlier. Idk I have a suspicion this thing ain't ready for prime time but I guess I have to look closer at <48 hrs to see how it really fares. Or maybe we will get skunked. The issue is that any regional model is likely to struggle beyond Day 2 due to the influences of the boundaries. People love to punch the NAM, but a lot of good mets realize that the NAM Nest can do some great things inside of Day 2. I suspect we're going to find out the same for RRFS...... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, bncho said: 1/21/2026. It's today. Then no I cannot confirm lol. Timestamp is different 12.23.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Army Mike said: If Cranky puts that out i would assume so He's Content now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Can anybody confirm whether this is legit? why would he lie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, bncho said: 1/21/2026. It's today. He means the red at the bottom, but it’s just a date range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 just to clarify - RRFS is the NAM repalcement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Actually that was the NBM Parallel, so many models geez. Here’s the ‘regular’ NBM…never knew there were multiple NBMs. I recommend using the parallel for the winter stuff - it's much improved for those products 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, weathercoins said: The Tweet, not the sounding The sounding was today as well, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Actually that was the NBM Parallel, so many models geez. Here’s the ‘regular’ NBM…never knew there were multiple NBMs. That’s got to be kuchera, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, pazzo83 said: just to clarify - RRFS is the NAM repalcement? Yes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 NWS LWX posted an AFD about an hour ago. Too much to fit in one post but anyone who hasn't seen it should check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: just to clarify - RRFS is the NAM repalcement? Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, high risk said: I recommend using the parallel for the winter stuff - it's much improved for those products It seemed way more reasonable than the ‘regular’ NBM. Are they retiring the ‘regular’ in favor of the parallel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: That’s got to be kuchera, right? The NBM does not use Kuchera. It uses a mix of different SLR techniques. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 this has amazing music 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, nj2va said: It seemed way more reasonable than the ‘regular’ NBM. Are they retiring the ‘regular’ in favor of the parallel? It's not really a retirement. It's an upgrade, just like is done routinely with models. Goal is to live in April. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Army Mike Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Check date on that 12.23.25 They knew about this storm a month ago? Impressive! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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