“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I remember that one well…but wasn’t on any weather board then, so I don’t know the lead up to that one as far as qpf was concerned. 

I was just a teenager then, but I remember the TV mets increasing totals beyond 18" during the storm.

[Go Kart Mozart]

16 minutes ago, cut said:

Go Kart - how we feeling for our hood? Am I busting out the snow shoes for Pequonnock trail?

Do you have sleet shoes, lol?

The interesting thing about these sleet depictions over coastal CT....is how close it is to all snow.  The sounding below is for our hood.  Lower that h750 temp by .5c?, maybe .25c?  And it is a whole different ballgame here.

[mahk_webstah]

28 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I'm savoring this one-a throwback to my youth.  The deep winter cold laying down the foundation with perfect timing.  The classic cirrus gathering in the SW sky, the excitement of a big snow on the way.   I grew up in the 1950s and early 60s.  The 1950s were not so kind to snow lovers until the latter half of the decade.  But my early years taught me to appreciate every aspect of the storm including the prodromal high paint brush cirrus.  When i was 9 years old, I read a book entitled "All About the Weather" by ivan Ray Tannehill.  He described a gathering storm similar to what we're hopefully about to experience.  I'm quoting but entirely from memory:

"It may be a clear cold day in winter whn you notice wispy high clouds in the sky to the west."

I remember the line-"the wind whistles in the pines and roars in the eaves".  Some of you older posters wil probably remember the same experience as me reading and validating what I was feeling......excitement...it was going to snow!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivan_Ray_Tannehill

Absolutely Jerry! That’s why I’m so looking forward to tomorrow up here. The morning will grow increasingly cloudy and it is bitter cold. We have about 6 inches of snow on the ground, which always makes the light seem richer, and it makes me happier.  I will be getting my preparations done with the tractor and snowblower attachment and making sure I’ve packed as much wood as possible onto the porch and the wood box at some point around noon, I’ll start to watch the sky and look out the window constantly. I can’t wait to announce to my not even two year-old twins that it has started to snow. I don’t think they’re old enough to really care at this point lol, but I hope to do that for many years with them.

A classic old school snowstorm is just what we need! Thanks for posting this

[cut]

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Do you have sleet shoes, lol?

The interesting thing about these sleet depictions over coastal CT....is how close it is to all snow.  The sounding below is for our hood.  Lower that h750 temp by .5c?, maybe .25c?  And it is a whole different ballgame here.

Seems like the new runs are a little better for here from what I’ve been reading here.

[WinterWolf]

Anybody have qpf map from 18z GFS? 

[ORH_wxman]

GFS has some decent goodies for Monday too. Esp east. 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

18z UKMET still cold

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Anybody have qpf map from 18z GFS? 

 

[Go Kart Mozart]

Just now, cut said:

Seems like the new runs are a little better for here from what I’ve been reading here.

For the most part yes.  GFS was a bit screwy.  For instance, what are we looking at here?

[Chrisrotary12]

17 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Can't recall too many events where guidance kept increasing QPF right up to go time. 1.5'' of liquid through this airmass with big UVVs is going to be a lot of snow. 

Paging @ORH_wxman

Jan ‘05?

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, cut said:

Seems like the new runs are a little better for here from what I’ve been reading here.

Think you’re gonna do fine there.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

Thank you Will.  Yup, that’s a nice look..I’ll take 1.6” of precipitation.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Chrisrotary12 said:

Paging @ORH_wxman

Jan ‘05?

Jan ‘05 def did. Jan ‘11 for sure. Jan ‘17. Those were coastals though. This is basically a massive SWFE. We do get some coastal characteristics below about 800-850mb, but can’t really recall a similar system. 
 

Maybe Feb 5, 2014…that was a really juiced SWFE. Airmass wasn’t like this though. This airmass being so cold is what makes this one a different beast. 

[cut]

9 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

For the most part yes.  GFS was a bit screwy.  For instance, what are we looking at here?

Yah that little middle finger of sleet is like the gloved hand of the doctor at a physical.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, cut said:

Yah that little middle finger of sleet is like the gloved hand of the doctor at a physical.

Could it be trying to model some CAD down the CT River valley?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Could it be trying to model some CAD down the CT River valley?

CAD wouldn’t really impact sleet vs snow. CAD will be lower level. 
 

It’s prob weird shaped because it’s marginal…the warm layer above 0C is prob very very thin so slightly different rates/dynamics might cause it to flip between snow and sleet at that point. 

[Modfan2]

Are lows tonight similar to last night? Wondering if we start to cloud up in SNE which prevents a free fall?

[dendrite]

Just now, Modfan2 said:

Are lows tonight similar to last night? Wondering if we start to cloud up in SNE which prevents a free fall?

Yeah the cirrus will increase and thicken overnight

[Damage In Tolland]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

1.6” for all of CT to E MA. There’s going to be a huge area of 15+. Ratios in CT and interior MA will end up dropping some big boy numbers 

[Ginx snewx]

2 hours ago, 78Blizzard said:

The town finally picked up the Christmas trees yesterday.  I had sent them an email 2 days ago warning them that the trees could become a hidden hazard under the snow, and that all the snow and ice would only make the trees heavier for pickup.  I guess they got the message.  Usually they pick up the trees the week following New Year's Day.

Glad we dont live there. Traditionally we burn ours NYE.

 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

1.6” for all of CT to E MA. There’s going to be a huge area of 15+. Ratios in CT and interior MA will end up dropping some big boy numbers 

Ginxy said 15-20” across the area…assuming no/very little sleet mixes in any specific area gonna be a good call imo. 

[CoastalWx]

Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy.

We’re good to go…it’s gonna rip. All star MVP airmass.  You’re probably in the best spot, but it’s a SNE Crusher for all of us. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy.

Your area very well might jack or at least near-jack. 

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

We’re actually on the Kennebec River fishing for smelts 

Where on the Kennebec?  How thick is the ice?

[Modfan2]

I am not greedy, I will take a foot and run with that! Will be the biggest snowfall since returning from FL. 

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is just the Monday stuff. 
 

 

Totally screws me   LOL

[Cold Miser]

Fu.ckin sleet

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Where on the Kennebec?  How thick is the ice?

He said a page back or so, it was 18”. 

[Modfan2]

1 minute ago, Cold Miser said:

Fu.ckin sleet

You think we’re going to see any? Thinking it doesn’t make it any further north than Norwich